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Detroit at Milwaukee

  Monday Jan 30, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Milwaukee, WI | Odds: Milwaukee by 7.5, Total Points: 182 | Team Pages: DET | MIL

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET MIL
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting DET MIL
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 82.5 82.3
Field Goal % 42.9% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 55.6 64.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.8% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 26.9 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 36.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 20.1
Free Throw % 70.4% 74.3%

Ball Control DET MIL
Rebounds 49.5 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 34.7 36.0
Rebounds - Offensive 14.8 11.9
Turnovers 14.7 14.7
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.7
Steals 7.9 7.9
Fouls 17.0 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET MIL
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with DET MIL
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 58.0%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 16.1%
Player Fouled 18.6% 17.5%
Turnover 15.2% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.1%

Odds Per Shot Taken DET MIL
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 25.5%