New Orleans at Denver: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Jan 31, 2023 10:00 pm - Denver, CO
Odds: Denver by 7, Total Points: 232

Matchup Menu: NO @ DEN

More Games From Jan 31, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO DEN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NO DEN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 87.0 86.9
Field Goal % 46.5% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 57.6 52.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 29.4 34.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 36.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 19.6
Free Throw % 77.4% 76.4%
Ball Control NO DEN
Rebounds 47.1 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.2 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 11.1
Turnovers 10.5 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.1 5.5
Steals 6.9 5.6
Fouls 16.0 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO DEN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NO DEN
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 30.4%
Player Fouled 16.2% 16.1%
Turnover 10.6% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO DEN
Shot Blocked 6.5% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 23.9%