New Orleans at Miami: Recap

Friday Dec 25, 2015 12:00 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 4.5, Total Points: 200

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami NO 35.5%
MIA 64.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
NO +5.0 NO 51.1%
MIA 48.9%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 198.0 Over 46.8%
Under 53.2%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off NO -0.9%
MIA -1.6%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
NO 96.0 96.5 88
MIA 100.8 101.5 94

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat NO MIA
Points/Game 115.0 110.1
Avg Score Margin +4.3 +1.7
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 15.2 12.8
Pts in Paint/Gm 51.4 47.2
Assists/Game 27.0 25.8
Total Rebounds/Gm 51.4 49.8
Effective FG % 55.7% 53.7%
Off Rebound % 24.3% 22.0%
FTA/FGA 0.260 0.257
Turnover % 11.7% 11.6%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat NO MIA
Opp Points/Game 110.7 108.3
Opp Effective FG % 54.1% 54.2%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 46.5 46.3
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.4 9.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 33.7 32.9
Blocks/Game 4.6 3.4
Steals/Game 8.3 7.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.4 17.3