Indiana at LA Lakers: Box Score Simulation

Friday Jan 19, 2018 10:30 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Indiana by 2, Total Points: 213

Matchup Menu: IND @ LAL

More Games From Jan 19, 2018

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND LAL
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting IND LAL
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 96.1 85.9
Field Goal % 50.3% 52.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 59.9 60.4
2 Point Shooting % 57.6% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 36.2 25.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 37.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 29.3
Free Throw % 78.0% 77.3%
Ball Control IND LAL
Rebounds 46.2 47.5
Rebounds - Defensive 34.7 37.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 9.6
Turnovers 11.2 13.0
Blocked Shots 5.7 5.0
Steals 7.6 5.7
Fouls 20.6 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND LAL
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with IND LAL
2 Point Attempt 50.2% 51.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 21.6%
Player Fouled 13.2% 19.4%
Turnover 10.6% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND LAL
Shot Blocked 5.9% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 21.6%