Indiana at Sacramento : Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jan 18, 2012 10:00 pm - Sacramento, CA
Odds: Indiana by 5.5, Total Points: 191

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND SAC
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting IND SAC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 83.4 84.9
Field Goal % 47.6% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 56.7 59.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 26.7 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 35.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 15.5
Free Throw % 77.8% 74.3%
Ball Control IND SAC
Rebounds 46.7 46.5
Rebounds - Defensive 36.4 35.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 11.0
Turnovers 12.6 13.9
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.7
Steals 8.3 6.6
Fouls 15.1 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND SAC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with IND SAC
2 Point Attempt 51.9% 54.0%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 23.3%
Player Fouled 18.1% 15.6%
Turnover 13.0% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND SAC
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 23.2%