Denver at Washington: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Jan 22, 2026 7:00 pm - Washington, DC
Odds: Denver by 6.5, Total Points: 227.5

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Under 227.5 Official TR Pick 52% odds to go under
Under 227.5 Decision Tree 52% odds to go under
Under 227.5 Similar Games 51% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record DEN WAS
Season 42-25-0 36-29-0
vs Division 7-4-0 8-6-0
vs Conference 27-12-0 26-15-0
Streak Ov 1 Ov 3
Last 5 3-2-0 4-1-0
Last 10 6-4-0 7-3-0
Home 16-15-0 18-15-0
Away 26-10-0 18-14-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Denver Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
10/23 Away Golden State 233.0 131-137 Over +35.0
10/25 Home Phoenix 233.5 133-111 Over +10.5
10/27 Away Minnesota 229.5 127-114 Over +11.5
10/29 Home New Orleans 238.0 122-88 Under -28.0
10/31 Away Portland 239.5 107-109 Under -23.5
11/03 Home Sacramento 237.0 130-124 Over +17.0
11/05 Home Miami 242.5 122-112 Under -8.5
11/07 Home Golden State 230.5 129-104 Over +2.5
11/08 Home Indiana 234.5 117-100 Under -17.5
11/11 Away Sacramento 243.5 122-108 Under -13.5
11/12 Away LA Clippers 224.5 130-116 Over +21.5
11/15 Away Minnesota 236.5 123-112 Under -1.5
11/17 Home Chicago 240.5 127-130 Over +16.5
11/19 Away New Orleans 235.5 125-118 Over +7.5
11/21 Away Houston 234.5 112-109 Under -13.5
11/22 Home Sacramento 239.5 123-128 Over +11.5
11/24 Away Memphis 235.5 125-115 Over +4.5
11/28 Home San Antonio 238.5 136-139 Over +36.5
11/29 Away Phoenix 233.5 130-112 Over +8.5
12/01 Home Dallas 235.5 121-131 Over +16.5
12/03 Away Indiana 238.5 135-120 Over +16.5
12/05 Away Atlanta 238.5 134-133 Over +28.5
12/07 Away Charlotte 235.5 115-106 Under -14.5
12/11 Away Sacramento 239.5 136-105 Over +1.5
12/15 Home Houston 236.5 128-125 Over +16.5
12/18 Home Orlando 237.5 126-115 Over +3.5
12/20 Home Houston 235.5 101-115 Under -19.5
12/22 Home Utah 251.5 135-112 Under -4.5
12/23 Away Dallas 236.5 130-131 Over +24.5
12/25 Home Minnesota 238.5 142-138 Over +41.5
12/27 Away Orlando 235.5 126-127 Over +17.5
12/29 Away Miami 243.5 123-147 Over +26.5
12/31 Away Toronto 229.5 106-103 Under -20.5
01/02 Away Cleveland 240.5 108-113 Under -19.5
01/04 Away Brooklyn 224.5 115-127 Over +17.5
01/05 Away Philadelphia 228.5 125-124 Over +20.5
01/07 Away Boston 230.5 114-110 Under -6.5
01/09 Home Atlanta 230.5 87-110 Under -33.5
01/11 Home Milwaukee 218.5 108-104 Under -6.5
01/13 Away New Orleans 235.5 122-116 Over +2.5
01/14 Away Dallas 224.5 118-109 Over +2.5
01/17 Home Washington 227.5 121-115 Over +8.5
01/18 Home Charlotte 226.5 87-110 Under -29.5
01/20 Home LA Lakers 228.5 107-115 Under -6.5
01/22 Away Washington 227.5 107-97 Under -23.5
01/23 Away Milwaukee 214.5 102-100 Under -12.5
01/27 Home Detroit 215.5 107-109 Over +0.5
01/29 Home Brooklyn 209.5 107-103 Over +0.5
01/30 Home LA Clippers 219.5 122-109 Over +11.5
02/01 Home Okla City 225.5 111-121 Over +6.5
02/03 Away Detroit 229.5 121-124 Over +15.5
02/04 Away New York 227.5 127-134 Over +33.5
02/07 Away Chicago 235.5 136-120 Over +20.5
02/09 Home Cleveland 242.5 117-119 Under -6.5
02/11 Home Memphis 238.5 122-116 Under -0.5
02/19 Away LA Clippers 226.5 114-115 Over +2.5
02/20 Away Portland 241.5 157-103 Over +18.5
02/22 Away Golden State 228.5 117-128 Over +16.5
02/25 Home Boston 228.5 103-84 Under -41.5
02/27 Away Okla City 235.5 121-127 Over +12.5
03/01 Home Minnesota 241.5 108-117 Under -16.5
03/02 Away Utah 242.5 128-125 Over +10.5
03/05 Home LA Lakers 241.5 120-113 Under -8.5
03/06 Home New York 229.5 103-142 Over +15.5
03/09 Away Okla City 236.5 126-129 Over +18.5
03/11 Home Houston 231.5 129-93 Under -9.5
03/12 Away San Antonio 241.5 136-131 Over +25.5

Washington Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
10/22 Away Milwaukee 228.0 120-133 Over +25.0
10/24 Away Dallas 228.5 117-107 Under -4.5
10/26 Home Charlotte 240.0 113-139 Over +12.0
10/28 Home Philadelphia 238.5 134-139 Over +34.5
10/30 Away Okla City 231.5 108-127 Over +3.5
11/01 Home Orlando 234.5 94-125 Under -15.5
11/03 Away New York 234.0 102-119 Under -13.0
11/05 Away Boston 232.5 107-136 Over +10.5
11/07 Home Cleveland 240.5 115-148 Over +22.5
11/08 Home Dallas 234.5 105-111 Under -18.5
11/10 Away Detroit 236.5 135-137 Over +35.5
11/12 Away Houston 236.5 112-135 Over +10.5
11/16 Home Brooklyn 231.5 106-129 Over +3.5
11/19 Away Minnesota 239.5 109-120 Under -10.5
11/21 Away Toronto 238.5 110-140 Over +11.5
11/22 Away Chicago 245.5 120-121 Under -4.5
11/25 Home Atlanta 239.5 132-113 Over +5.5
11/28 Away Indiana 239.5 86-119 Under -34.5
12/01 Home Milwaukee 232.5 129-126 Over +22.5
12/02 Away Philadelphia 234.5 102-121 Under -11.5
12/04 Home Boston 231.5 101-146 Over +15.5
12/06 Home Atlanta 237.5 116-131 Over +9.5
12/12 Home Cleveland 245.5 126-130 Over +10.5
12/14 Away Indiana 233.5 108-89 Under -36.5
12/18 Away San Antonio 241.5 94-119 Under -28.5
12/20 Away Memphis 233.5 130-122 Over +18.5
12/21 Home San Antonio 237.5 113-124 Under -0.5
12/23 Away Charlotte 239.5 109-126 Under -4.5
12/26 Home Toronto 225.5 138-117 Over +29.5
12/28 Home Memphis 241.5 116-112 Under -13.5
12/29 Home Phoenix 233.5 101-115 Under -17.5
12/31 Away Milwaukee 234.5 114-113 Under -7.5
01/02 Home Brooklyn 224.5 119-99 Under -6.5
01/04 Home Minnesota 239.5 115-141 Over +16.5
01/06 Home Orlando 235.5 120-112 Under -3.5
01/07 Away Philadelphia 234.5 110-131 Over +6.5
01/09 Home New Orleans 243.5 107-128 Under -8.5
01/11 Away Phoenix 229.5 93-112 Under -24.5
01/14 Away LA Clippers 226.5 105-119 Under -2.5
01/16 Away Sacramento 235.5 115-128 Over +7.5
01/17 Away Denver 227.5 115-121 Over +8.5
01/19 Home LA Clippers 227.5 106-110 Under -11.5
01/22 Home Denver 227.5 97-107 Under -23.5
01/24 Away Charlotte 232.5 115-119 Over +1.5
01/27 Home Portland 233.5 115-111 Under -7.5
01/29 Home Milwaukee 223.5 109-99 Under -15.5
01/30 Home LA Lakers 229.5 111-142 Over +23.5
02/01 Home Sacramento 227.5 116-112 Over +0.5
02/03 Home New York 227.5 101-132 Over +5.5
02/05 Away Detroit 227.5 126-117 Over +15.5
02/07 Away Brooklyn 216.5 113-127 Over +23.5
02/08 Home Miami 236.5 101-132 Under -3.5
02/11 Away Cleveland 239.5 113-138 Over +11.5
02/19 Home Indiana 233.5 112-105 Under -16.5
02/20 Home Indiana 230.5 131-118 Over +18.5
02/22 Home Charlotte 224.5 112-129 Over +16.5
02/24 Away Atlanta 236.5 98-119 Under -19.5
02/26 Away Atlanta 235.5 96-126 Under -13.5
02/28 Home Toronto 229.5 125-134 Over +29.5
03/02 Home Houston 225.5 118-123 Over +15.5
03/03 Away Orlando 227.5 109-126 Over +7.5
03/05 Home Utah 240.5 112-122 Under -6.5
03/08 Away New Orleans 244.5 118-138 Over +11.5
03/10 Away Miami 235.5 129-150 Over +43.5
03/12 Away Orlando 236.5 131-136 Over +30.5