Denver at New Orleans: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Nov 19, 2025 8:00 pm - New Orleans, LA
Odds: Denver by 11.5, Total Points: 235.5

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
New Orleans +11.5 Official TR Pick New Orleans 52% odds to cover
New Orleans +11.5 Decision Tree New Orleans 52% odds to cover
New Orleans +11.5 Similar Games New Orleans 63% odds to cover
Denver -11.5 Power Rating Model Denver 55% odds to cover
Denver -11.5 Predictive Ratings Denver 54% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record DEN adv NO
Season 44-38-0 45-36-1
vs Division 9-7-0 12-3-1
vs Conference 28-24-0 32-18-1
Streak W2 L2
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 4-6-0 3-7-0
Home 20-21-0 26-14-1
Away 24-17-0 19-22-0

Denver Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/23 Away Golden State +1.5 L by 6 -4.5
10/25 Home Phoenix -13.0 W by 22 +9.0
10/27 Away Minnesota -6.0 W by 13 +7.0
10/29 Home New Orleans -12.5 W by 34 +21.5
10/31 Away Portland -5.5 L by 2 -7.5
11/03 Home Sacramento -11.5 W by 6 -5.5
11/05 Home Miami -9.5 W by 10 +0.5
11/07 Home Golden State -9.5 W by 25 +15.5
11/08 Home Indiana -9.5 W by 17 +7.5
11/11 Away Sacramento -8.5 W by 14 +5.5
11/12 Away LA Clippers -4.5 W by 14 +9.5
11/15 Away Minnesota -1.5 W by 11 +9.5
11/17 Home Chicago -13.5 L by 3 -16.5
11/19 Away New Orleans -11.5 W by 7 -4.5
11/21 Away Houston +3.5 W by 3 +6.5
11/22 Home Sacramento -10.5 L by 5 -15.5
11/24 Away Memphis -6.5 W by 10 +3.5
11/28 Home San Antonio -7.5 L by 3 -10.5
11/29 Away Phoenix -3.5 W by 18 +14.5
12/01 Home Dallas -11.5 L by 10 -21.5
12/03 Away Indiana -8.5 W by 15 +6.5
12/05 Away Atlanta -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
12/07 Away Charlotte -10.5 W by 9 -1.5
12/11 Away Sacramento -10.5 W by 31 +20.5
12/15 Home Houston +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
12/18 Home Orlando -6.5 W by 11 +4.5
12/20 Home Houston -1.5 L by 14 -15.5
12/22 Home Utah -12.5 W by 23 +10.5
12/23 Away Dallas -6.5 L by 1 -7.5
12/25 Home Minnesota -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
12/27 Away Orlando -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
12/29 Away Miami -1.5 L by 24 -25.5
12/31 Away Toronto +7.5 W by 3 +10.5
01/02 Away Cleveland +13.5 L by 5 +8.5
01/04 Away Brooklyn -2.5 L by 12 -14.5
01/05 Away Philadelphia +14.5 W by 1 +15.5
01/07 Away Boston +9.5 W by 4 +13.5
01/09 Home Atlanta +3.5 L by 23 -19.5
01/11 Home Milwaukee +6.5 W by 4 +10.5
01/13 Away New Orleans -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
01/14 Away Dallas +1.5 W by 9 +10.5
01/17 Home Washington -10.5 W by 6 -4.5
01/18 Home Charlotte +2.5 L by 23 -20.5
01/20 Home LA Lakers +3.5 L by 8 -4.5
01/22 Away Washington -6.5 W by 10 +3.5
01/23 Away Milwaukee +7.5 W by 2 +9.5
01/27 Home Detroit +7.5 L by 2 +5.5
01/29 Home Brooklyn -6.5 W by 4 -2.5
01/30 Home LA Clippers +2.5 W by 13 +15.5
02/01 Home Okla City +7.5 L by 10 -2.5
02/03 Away Detroit +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
02/04 Away New York +4.5 L by 7 -2.5
02/07 Away Chicago -9.5 W by 16 +6.5
02/09 Home Cleveland -2.5 L by 2 -4.5
02/11 Home Memphis -14.5 W by 6 -8.5
02/19 Away LA Clippers -4.5 L by 1 -5.5
02/20 Away Portland -1.5 W by 54 +52.5
02/22 Away Golden State -6.5 L by 11 -17.5
02/25 Home Boston -3.5 W by 19 +15.5
02/27 Away Okla City +6.5 L by 6 +0.5
03/01 Home Minnesota -2.5 L by 9 -11.5
03/02 Away Utah -11.5 W by 3 -8.5
03/05 Home LA Lakers -3.5 W by 7 +3.5
03/06 Home New York -1.5 L by 39 -40.5
03/09 Away Okla City +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
03/11 Home Houston -6.5 W by 36 +29.5
03/12 Away San Antonio +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
03/14 Away LA Lakers -1.5 L by 2 -3.5
03/17 Home Philadelphia -15.5 W by 28 +12.5
03/18 Away Memphis -12.5 L by 7 -19.5
03/20 Home Toronto -6.5 W by 6 -0.5
03/22 Home Portland -8.5 W by 16 +7.5
03/24 Away Phoenix -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
03/25 Home Dallas -10.5 W by 7 -3.5
03/27 Home Utah -19.5 W by 6 -13.5
03/29 Home Golden State -11.5 W by 23 +11.5
04/01 Away Utah -17.5 W by 13 -4.5
04/04 Home San Antonio +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
04/06 Home Portland -7.5 W by 5 -2.5
04/08 Home Memphis -23.5 W by 17 -6.5
04/10 Home Okla City -2.5 W by 20 +17.5
04/12 Away San Antonio +9.5 W by 10 +19.5

New Orleans Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Away Memphis +4.0 L by 6 -2.0
10/24 Home San Antonio +4.0 L by 4 0.0
10/27 Home Boston +4.5 L by 32 -27.5
10/29 Away Denver +12.5 L by 34 -21.5
10/31 Away LA Clippers +11.0 L by 2 +9.0
11/02 Away Okla City +13.0 L by 31 -18.0
11/04 Home Charlotte -3.5 W by 4 +0.5
11/05 Away Dallas +8.5 W by 2 +10.5
11/08 Away San Antonio +10.5 L by 7 +3.5
11/10 Away Phoenix +8.5 L by 23 -14.5
11/12 Home Portland +8.5 L by 8 +0.5
11/14 Home LA Lakers +9.5 L by 14 -4.5
11/16 Home Golden State +10.5 L by 18 -7.5
11/17 Home Okla City +18.5 L by 17 +1.5
11/19 Home Denver +11.5 L by 7 +4.5
11/21 Away Dallas +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
11/22 Home Atlanta +9.5 L by 17 -7.5
11/24 Home Chicago +4.5 W by 13 +17.5
11/26 Home Memphis +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
11/29 Away Golden State +9.5 L by 8 +1.5
11/30 Away LA Lakers +15.5 L by 12 +3.5
12/02 Home Minnesota +12.5 L by 7 +5.5
12/04 Home Minnesota +12.5 L by 9 +3.5
12/06 Away Brooklyn +3.5 L by 18 -14.5
12/08 Home San Antonio +8.5 L by 3 +5.5
12/11 Home Portland +4.5 W by 23 +27.5
12/14 Away Chicago +4.5 W by 10 +14.5
12/18 Home Houston +9.5 W by 5 +14.5
12/20 Home Indiana -2.5 W by 19 +16.5
12/22 Home Dallas +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
12/23 Away Cleveland +9.5 L by 23 -13.5
12/26 Home Phoenix +5.5 L by 7 -1.5
12/27 Home Phoenix +4.5 L by 9 -4.5
12/29 Home New York +8.5 L by 5 +3.5
12/31 Away Chicago +1.5 L by 16 -14.5
01/02 Home Portland +3.5 L by 13 -9.5
01/04 Away Miami +7.5 L by 19 -11.5
01/06 Home LA Lakers +5.5 L by 8 -2.5
01/07 Away Atlanta +10.5 L by 17 -6.5
01/09 Away Washington -3.5 W by 21 +17.5
01/11 Away Orlando +7.5 L by 10 -2.5
01/13 Home Denver +2.5 L by 6 -3.5
01/14 Home Brooklyn -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
01/16 Away Indiana +4.5 L by 8 -3.5
01/18 Away Houston +13.5 L by 9 +4.5
01/21 Home Detroit +9.5 L by 8 +1.5
01/23 Away Memphis +5.5 W by 6 +11.5
01/25 Away San Antonio +11.5 W by 9 +20.5
01/27 Away Okla City +14.5 L by 9 +5.5
01/30 Home Memphis -3.5 W by 8 +4.5
01/31 Away Philadelphia +6.5 L by 10 -3.5
02/02 Away Charlotte +6.5 L by 7 -0.5
02/04 Away Milwaukee -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
02/06 Away Minnesota +8.5 W by 4 +12.5
02/09 Home Sacramento -9.5 W by 26 +16.5
02/11 Home Miami -1.5 L by 12 -13.5
02/20 Home Milwaukee -4.5 L by 21 -25.5
02/21 Home Philadelphia +3.5 W by 15 +18.5
02/24 Home Golden State +1.5 W by 4 +5.5
02/26 Away Utah -6.5 W by 11 +4.5
02/28 Away Utah -5.5 W by 10 +4.5
03/01 Away LA Clippers +8.5 L by 20 -11.5
03/03 Away LA Lakers +8.5 L by 9 -0.5
03/05 Away Sacramento -6.5 W by 10 +3.5
03/06 Away Phoenix +3.5 L by 2 +1.5
03/08 Home Washington -11.5 W by 20 +8.5
03/11 Home Toronto +2.5 W by 11 +13.5
03/13 Away Houston +5.5 L by 2 +3.5
03/16 Home Dallas -8.5 W by 18 +9.5
03/18 Home LA Clippers +2.5 W by 15 +17.5
03/19 Home LA Clippers -4.5 W by 6 +1.5
03/21 Home Cleveland +4.5 L by 5 -0.5
03/24 Away New York +8.5 L by 5 +3.5
03/26 Away Detroit +4.5 L by 21 -16.5
03/27 Away Toronto +8.5 L by 13 -4.5
03/29 Home Houston +5.5 L by 32 -26.5
04/02 Away Portland +6.5 L by 12 -5.5
04/03 Away Sacramento -5.5 L by 4 -9.5
04/05 Home Orlando +5.5 L by 4 +1.5
04/07 Home Utah -10.5 W by 19 +8.5
04/10 Away Boston +17.5 L by 26 -8.5
04/12 Away Minnesota +3.5 L by 6 -2.5