Brooklyn at Toronto: Box Score Simulation

Monday Feb 11, 2019 7:30 pm - Toronto, Ont
Odds: Toronto by 10, Total Points: 227.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK TOR
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting BK TOR
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 88.0 92.3
Field Goal % 41.5% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 45.3 53.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 42.8 38.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 35.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 22.2
Free Throw % 74.7% 79.9%
Ball Control BK TOR
Rebounds 56.3 52.0
Rebounds - Defensive 42.4 40.8
Rebounds - Offensive 13.8 11.2
Turnovers 15.6 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.5 5.1
Steals 5.4 7.6
Fouls 18.1 19.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK TOR
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with BK TOR
2 Point Attempt 37.5% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 35.4% 32.5%
Player Fouled 18.5% 17.2%
Turnover 14.9% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK TOR
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 20.9%