Brooklyn at Atlanta : Box Score Simulation

Friday Dec 30, 2011 7:30 pm - Atlanta, GA
Odds: Atlanta by 11.5, Total Points: 177

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Early Season Warning: This simulation relies purely on current-season statistics and results, which means there isn't enough data to make very good predictions until roughly a month's worth of games have been played. We recommend you ignore this box score until December 1; however, due to a high volume of user requests we will leave it un-hidden during this early adjustment period.

Box Score Projection

Scoring BKN ATL
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting BKN ATL
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 98.1 85.9
Field Goal % 43.5% 68.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 64.2 53.2
2 Point Shooting % 49.6% 80.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 33.9 32.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 49.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.9 12.6
Free Throw % 80.0% 77.8%
Ball Control BKN ATL
Rebounds 33.6 50.5
Rebounds - Defensive 17.1 39.0
Rebounds - Offensive 16.4 11.5
Turnovers 18.7 24.7
Blocked Shots 2.7 10.9
Steals 11.9 17.8
Fouls 14.6 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +4.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BKN ATL
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with BKN ATL
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 27.0%
Player Fouled 13.4% 13.5%
Turnover 17.2% 22.8%
Opponent Steal 16.4% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BKN ATL
Shot Blocked 12.8% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 40.1%