Thursday Dec 25, 2025 5:00 pm -
San Francisco, CA
Odds:
Golden State by 8.5,
Total Points:
229.5
| Game Winner Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
| Golden State |
|
| DAL |
24.0% |
| GSW |
76.0% |
| ATS Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
DAL +8.5 |
|
| DAL |
51.8% |
| GSW |
48.2% |
| Totals Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
Over 229.5 |
|
| Over |
50.3% |
| Under |
49.7% |
| Money Line Value Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
Lay Off |
|
| DAL |
-3.7% |
| GSW |
-0.5% |
| Final Score Projection |
Vegas Implied | Actual |
| DAL |
110.8 |
110.5 | 116 |
| GSW |
118.9 |
119.0 | 126 |
Offensive Stat Comparison (Last Season)
| Stat |
DAL |
GSW |
| Points/Game |
114.1 |
114.5 |
| Avg Score Margin |
-5.5 |
-0.7 |
| Fastbreak Pts/Gm |
17.8 |
12.0 |
| Pts in Paint/Gm |
52.8 |
45.0 |
| Assists/Game |
25.3 |
28.8 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm |
54.3 |
50.5 |
| Effective FG % |
52.7% |
55.1% |
| Off Rebound % |
23.2% |
25.8% |
| FTA/FGA |
0.287 |
0.239 |
| Turnover % |
12.5% |
13.8% |
Defensive Stat Comparison (Last Season)
| Stat |
DAL |
GSW |
| Opp Points/Game |
119.6 |
115.2 |
| Opp Effective FG % |
54.6% |
55.4% |
| Opp Pts in Paint/Gm |
56.2 |
50.6 |
| Off Rebounds/Gm |
10.5 |
11.4 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm |
34.2 |
30.9 |
| Blocks/Game |
5.2 |
4.2 |
| Steals/Game |
7.5 |
9.7 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm |
18.4 |
19.6 |