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LA Lakers at Philadelphia: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Feb 10, 2019 3:30 pm - Philadelphia, PA
Odds: Philadelphia by 7, Total Points: 234

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL PHI
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting LAL PHI
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 83.8 84.7
Field Goal % 48.1% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 54.8 55.8
2 Point Shooting % 55.9% 46.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 29.0 28.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 36.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 27.5 25.9
Free Throw % 74.8% 76.4%
Ball Control LAL PHI
Rebounds 50.7 47.6
Rebounds - Defensive 39.5 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 11.6
Turnovers 12.5 13.5
Blocked Shots 5.6 3.5
Steals 7.0 6.8
Fouls 19.6 20.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL PHI
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with LAL PHI
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 25.0%
Player Fouled 20.5% 19.3%
Turnover 12.3% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL PHI
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 22.7%