New York at Denver: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday May 5, 2021 9:00 pm - Denver, CO
Odds: Denver by 3.5, Total Points: 214.5

Matchup Menu: NY @ DEN

More Games From May 5, 2021

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY DEN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NY DEN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 88.9 87.1
Field Goal % 44.9% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 56.7 56.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 32.2 30.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 37.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 19.3
Free Throw % 77.9% 76.4%
Ball Control NY DEN
Rebounds 49.1 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 33.8 36.0
Rebounds - Offensive 15.3 12.0
Turnovers 10.6 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.0 5.5
Steals 6.4 5.6
Fouls 15.5 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY DEN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NY DEN
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 50.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 27.6%
Player Fouled 16.7% 15.9%
Turnover 10.8% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY DEN
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 26.2%