New York at Cleveland : Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jan 25, 2012 7:00 pm - Cleveland, OH
Odds: New York by 4, Total Points: 196

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NYK CLE
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NYK CLE
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 91.9 87.1
Field Goal % 45.0% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 66.0 51.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.9 35.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 37.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 25.1
Free Throw % 78.6% 74.1%
Ball Control NYK CLE
Rebounds 51.9 50.8
Rebounds - Defensive 37.7 38.2
Rebounds - Offensive 14.2 12.6
Turnovers 10.8 10.9
Blocked Shots 5.1 3.5
Steals 5.8 5.5
Fouls 18.6 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NYK CLE
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NYK CLE
2 Point Attempt 57.1% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 31.0%
Player Fouled 14.6% 18.7%
Turnover 10.8% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken NYK CLE
Shot Blocked 4.1% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 25.0%