Sacramento at Chicago: Box Score Simulation

Friday Jan 24, 2020 8:00 pm - Chicago, IL
Odds: Chicago by 1.5, Total Points: 217.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC CHI
Points 112.9 108.3
Total Points   221.1
Points From 2-Pointers 59.6 53.7
Points From 3-Pointers 34.6 37.4
Points From Free Throws 18.7 17.2
Shooting SAC CHI
Field Goals Made 41.3 39.3
Field Goals Attempted 82.1 85.4
Field Goal % 50.3% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 26.9
2 Pointers Attempted 50.1 49.5
2 Point Shooting % 59.5% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 32.1 35.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 18.7 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 22.9
Free Throw % 76.9% 74.9%
Ball Control SAC CHI
Rebounds 48.4 44.4
Rebounds - Defensive 38.0 33.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 10.9
Turnovers 16.5 15.2
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.4
Steals 8.0 9.2
Fouls 18.9 19.2

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC CHI
Total Possessions 103.3
Effective Scoring Chances 97.1 99.1
% of Possessions with SAC CHI
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 30.9%
Player Fouled 18.6% 18.3%
Turnover 16.0% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC CHI
Shot Blocked 4.0% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 22.3%