Utah at LA Lakers: Box Score Simulation

Monday Jan 17, 2022 10:30 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Utah by 5.5, Total Points: 230.5

Matchup Menu: UTA @ LAL

More Games From Jan 17, 2022

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA LAL
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UTA LAL
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 93.7 88.9
Field Goal % 46.8% 52.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 55.4 55.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 58.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 38.2 33.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 41.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 24.3
Free Throw % 83.7% 77.6%
Ball Control UTA LAL
Rebounds 49.7 46.3
Rebounds - Defensive 35.8 36.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 9.4
Turnovers 13.5 11.3
Blocked Shots 5.1 6.4
Steals 6.3 7.3
Fouls 17.6 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA LAL
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UTA LAL
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 28.6%
Player Fouled 13.4% 16.9%
Turnover 12.9% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA LAL
Shot Blocked 7.3% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 20.8%