Utah at Atlanta : Box Score Simulation

Sunday Mar 25, 2012 6:00 pm - Atlanta, GA
Odds: Atlanta by 1, Total Points: 190

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA ATL
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UTA ATL
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 80.1 80.3
Field Goal % 43.3% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 54.1 55.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 47.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 26.0 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 38.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 20.5
Free Throw % 71.5% 77.6%
Ball Control UTA ATL
Rebounds 52.1 43.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.0 33.6
Rebounds - Offensive 15.1 9.4
Turnovers 15.2 12.4
Blocked Shots 6.2 4.6
Steals 7.0 8.6
Fouls 17.3 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA ATL
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UTA ATL
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 52.4%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 23.0%
Player Fouled 16.7% 18.3%
Turnover 16.0% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA ATL
Shot Blocked 5.8% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 31.0% 20.3%