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Utah at Cleveland : Box Score Simulation

Monday Mar 5, 2012 7:00 pm - Cleveland, OH
Odds: Utah by 1.5, Total Points: 193.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA CLE
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UTA CLE
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 78.7 80.8
Field Goal % 44.3% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 54.0 52.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 28.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 38.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 21.3
Free Throw % 74.2% 74.6%
Ball Control UTA CLE
Rebounds 46.3 46.9
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 35.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 11.1
Turnovers 12.9 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.0
Steals 6.2 6.8
Fouls 18.7 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA CLE
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UTA CLE
2 Point Attempt 50.6% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 26.6%
Player Fouled 19.1% 19.9%
Turnover 13.8% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA CLE
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 23.9%