Charlotte at Miami: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 27, 2018 7:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 4, Total Points: 207.5

Matchup Menu: CHA @ MIA

More Games From Jan 27, 2018

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA MIA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CHA MIA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 84.1 85.1
Field Goal % 45.8% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 47.4 49.3
2 Point Shooting % 55.0% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 36.7 35.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 37.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 20.7
Free Throw % 78.9% 81.5%
Ball Control CHA MIA
Rebounds 44.2 49.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.5 38.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 10.5
Turnovers 12.9 11.7
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.0
Steals 5.5 6.7
Fouls 16.3 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA MIA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CHA MIA
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 33.9% 32.3%
Player Fouled 15.3% 16.5%
Turnover 13.1% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA MIA
Shot Blocked 3.6% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 18.3% 22.9%