Miami at Portland: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Jan 22, 2026 10:00 pm - Portland, OR
Odds: Portland by 3.5, Total Points: 235.5

Matchup Menu: MIA @ POR

More Games From Jan 22, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Under 236.5 Official TR Pick 50% odds to go under
Under 236.5 Decision Tree 50% odds to go under
Under 236.5 Similar Games 53% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record MIA POR
Season 27-28-0 28-26-0
vs Division 4-5-0 5-3-0
vs Conference 13-18-0 21-14-0
Streak Un 3 Ov 5
Last 5 1-4-0 5-0-0
Last 10 4-6-0 6-4-0
Home 14-13-0 18-11-0
Away 13-15-0 10-15-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
10/22 Away Orlando 216.0 121-125 Over +30.0
10/24 Away Memphis 232.5 146-114 Over +27.5
10/26 Home New York 230.5 115-107 Under -8.5
10/28 Home Charlotte 241.5 144-117 Over +19.5
10/30 Away San Antonio 228.5 101-107 Under -20.5
11/02 Away LA Lakers 232.5 120-130 Over +17.5
11/03 Away LA Clippers 227.5 120-119 Over +11.5
11/05 Away Denver 242.5 112-122 Under -8.5
11/07 Home Charlotte 235.5 126-108 Under -1.5
11/08 Home Portland 241.5 136-131 Over +25.5
11/10 Home Cleveland 248.5 140-138 Over +29.5
11/12 Home Cleveland 238.5 116-130 Over +7.5
11/14 Away New York 240.5 132-140 Over +31.5
11/17 Home New York 244.5 115-113 Under -16.5
11/19 Home Golden State 234.5 110-96 Under -28.5
11/21 Away Chicago 250.5 143-107 Under -0.5
11/23 Away Philadelphia 240.5 127-117 Over +3.5
11/24 Home Dallas 240.5 106-102 Under -32.5
11/26 Home Milwaukee 236.5 106-103 Under -27.5
11/29 Home Detroit 239.5 135-138 Over +33.5
12/01 Home LA Clippers 235.5 140-123 Over +27.5
12/03 Away Dallas 238.5 108-118 Under -12.5
12/05 Away Orlando 241.5 105-106 Under -30.5
12/06 Home Sacramento 241.5 111-127 Under -3.5
12/09 Away Orlando 235.5 108-117 Under -10.5
12/15 Home Toronto 234.5 96-106 Under -32.5
12/18 Away Brooklyn 228.5 106-95 Under -27.5
12/19 Away Boston 232.5 116-129 Over +12.5
12/21 Away New York 236.5 125-132 Over +20.5
12/23 Home Toronto 227.5 91-112 Under -24.5
12/26 Away Atlanta 250.5 126-111 Under -13.5
12/27 Home Indiana 233.5 142-116 Over +24.5
12/29 Home Denver 243.5 147-123 Over +26.5
01/01 Away Detroit 236.5 118-112 Under -6.5
01/03 Home Minnesota 235.5 115-125 Over +4.5
01/04 Home New Orleans 246.5 125-106 Under -15.5
01/06 Away Minnesota 238.5 94-122 Under -22.5
01/10 Away Indiana 235.5 99-123 Under -13.5
01/11 Away Okla City 234.5 112-124 Over +1.5
01/13 Home Phoenix 230.5 127-121 Over +17.5
01/15 Home Boston 235.5 114-119 Under -2.5
01/17 Home Okla City 234.5 122-120 Over +7.5
01/19 Away Golden State 239.5 112-135 Over +7.5
01/20 Away Sacramento 238.5 130-117 Over +8.5
01/22 Away Portland 235.5 110-127 Over +1.5
01/24 Away Utah 245.5 147-116 Over +17.5
01/25 Away Phoenix 225.5 111-102 Under -12.5
01/28 Home Orlando 233.5 124-133 Over +23.5
01/29 Away Chicago 238.5 116-113 Under -9.5
01/31 Home Chicago 231.5 118-125 Over +11.5
02/01 Home Chicago 233.5 134-91 Under -8.5
02/03 Home Atlanta 237.5 115-127 Over +4.5
02/06 Away Boston 227.5 96-98 Under -33.5
02/08 Away Washington 236.5 132-101 Under -3.5
02/09 Home Utah 236.5 111-115 Under -10.5

Portland Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
10/22 Home Minnesota 222.0 114-118 Over +10.0
10/24 Home Golden State 228.5 139-119 Over +29.5
10/26 Away LA Clippers 225.0 107-114 Under -4.0
10/27 Away LA Lakers 227.5 122-108 Over +2.5
10/29 Away Utah 235.5 136-134 Over +34.5
10/31 Home Denver 239.5 109-107 Under -23.5
11/03 Home LA Lakers 228.0 115-123 Over +10.0
11/05 Home Okla City 231.5 121-119 Over +8.5
11/08 Away Miami 241.5 131-136 Over +25.5
11/10 Away Orlando 235.5 112-115 Under -8.5
11/12 Away New Orleans 231.5 125-117 Over +10.5
11/14 Away Houston 236.5 116-140 Over +19.5
11/16 Away Dallas 236.5 133-138 Over +34.5
11/18 Home Phoenix 235.5 110-127 Over +1.5
11/19 Home Chicago 244.5 121-122 Under -1.5
11/21 Away Golden State 236.5 127-123 Over +13.5
11/23 Away Okla City 234.5 95-122 Under -17.5
11/24 Away Milwaukee 230.5 115-103 Under -12.5
11/26 Home San Antonio 239.5 102-115 Under -22.5
11/30 Home Okla City 233.5 115-123 Over +4.5
12/02 Away Toronto 230.5 118-121 Over +8.5
12/03 Away Cleveland 243.5 122-110 Under -11.5
12/05 Away Detroit 236.5 116-122 Over +1.5
12/07 Away Memphis 232.5 96-119 Under -17.5
12/11 Away New Orleans 241.5 120-143 Over +21.5
12/14 Home Golden State 237.5 136-131 Over +29.5
12/18 Home Sacramento 239.5 134-133 Over +27.5
12/20 Away Sacramento 235.5 98-93 Under -44.5
12/22 Home Detroit 234.5 102-110 Under -22.5
12/23 Home Orlando 231.5 106-110 Under -15.5
12/26 Home LA Clippers 227.5 103-119 Under -5.5
12/28 Home Boston 231.5 114-108 Under -9.5
12/29 Home Dallas 232.5 125-122 Over +14.5
12/31 Away Okla City 232.5 95-124 Under -13.5
01/02 Away New Orleans 240.5 122-109 Under -9.5
01/03 Away San Antonio 235.5 115-110 Under -10.5
01/05 Home Utah 242.5 137-117 Over +11.5
01/07 Home Houston 222.5 103-102 Under -17.5
01/09 Home Houston 222.5 111-105 Under -6.5
01/11 Home New York 229.5 114-123 Over +7.5
01/13 Away Golden State 225.5 97-119 Under -9.5
01/15 Home Atlanta 228.5 117-101 Under -10.5
01/17 Home LA Lakers 223.5 132-116 Over +24.5
01/18 Away Sacramento 229.5 117-110 Under -2.5
01/22 Home Miami 235.5 127-110 Over +1.5
01/23 Home Toronto 224.5 98-110 Under -16.5
01/26 Away Boston 222.5 94-102 Under -26.5
01/27 Away Washington 233.5 111-115 Under -7.5
01/30 Away New York 224.5 97-127 Under -0.5
02/01 Home Cleveland 227.5 111-130 Over +13.5
02/03 Home Phoenix 219.5 125-130 Over +35.5
02/06 Home Memphis 235.5 135-115 Over +14.5
02/07 Home Memphis 229.5 122-115 Over +7.5
02/09 Home Philadelphia 231.5 135-118 Over +21.5