Miami at Portland: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Jan 22, 2026 10:00 pm - Portland, OR
Odds: Portland by 3.5, Total Points: 235.5

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Miami +3.5 Official TR Pick Miami 51% odds to cover
Miami +3.5 Power Rating Model Miami 63% odds to cover
Miami +3.5 Decision Tree Miami 51% odds to cover
Miami +3.5 Similar Games Miami 58% odds to cover
Miami +3.5 Predictive Ratings Miami 61% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MIA adv POR
Season 31-24-0 29-25-0
vs Division 6-3-0 5-3-0
vs Conference 18-13-0 19-16-0
Streak L1 W1
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 6-4-0 4-6-0
Home 14-13-0 17-12-0
Away 17-11-0 12-13-0

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Away Orlando +8.0 L by 4 +4.0
10/24 Away Memphis +3.0 W by 32 +35.0
10/26 Home New York +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
10/28 Home Charlotte -6.5 W by 27 +20.5
10/30 Away San Antonio +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
11/02 Away LA Lakers +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
11/03 Away LA Clippers +8.0 W by 1 +9.0
11/05 Away Denver +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
11/07 Home Charlotte -7.5 W by 18 +10.5
11/08 Home Portland +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
11/10 Home Cleveland +7.5 W by 2 +9.5
11/12 Home Cleveland -5.5 L by 14 -19.5
11/14 Away New York +6.5 L by 8 -1.5
11/17 Home New York -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
11/19 Home Golden State -9.5 W by 14 +4.5
11/21 Away Chicago +2.5 W by 36 +38.5
11/23 Away Philadelphia +1.5 W by 10 +11.5
11/24 Home Dallas -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
11/26 Home Milwaukee -10.5 W by 3 -7.5
11/29 Home Detroit -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
12/01 Home LA Clippers -6.5 W by 17 +10.5
12/03 Away Dallas -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/05 Away Orlando +6.5 L by 1 +5.5
12/06 Home Sacramento -8.5 L by 16 -24.5
12/09 Away Orlando +1.5 L by 9 -7.5
12/15 Home Toronto -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/18 Away Brooklyn -8.5 W by 11 +2.5
12/19 Away Boston +7.5 L by 13 -5.5
12/21 Away New York +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
12/23 Home Toronto -5.5 L by 21 -26.5
12/26 Away Atlanta +2.5 W by 15 +17.5
12/27 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 26 +19.5
12/29 Home Denver +1.5 W by 24 +25.5
01/01 Away Detroit +4.5 W by 6 +10.5
01/03 Home Minnesota +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
01/04 Home New Orleans -7.5 W by 19 +11.5
01/06 Away Minnesota +5.5 L by 28 -22.5
01/10 Away Indiana -6.5 L by 24 -30.5
01/11 Away Okla City +15.5 L by 12 +3.5
01/13 Home Phoenix -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
01/15 Home Boston +2.5 L by 5 -2.5
01/17 Home Okla City +11.5 W by 2 +13.5
01/19 Away Golden State +5.5 L by 23 -17.5
01/20 Away Sacramento -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
01/22 Away Portland +3.5 L by 17 -13.5
01/24 Away Utah -6.5 W by 31 +24.5
01/25 Away Phoenix +4.5 W by 9 +13.5
01/28 Home Orlando -3.5 L by 9 -12.5
01/29 Away Chicago -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
01/31 Home Chicago -5.5 L by 7 -12.5
02/01 Home Chicago -5.5 W by 43 +37.5
02/03 Home Atlanta -1.5 L by 12 -13.5
02/06 Away Boston +5.5 L by 2 +3.5
02/08 Away Washington -12.5 W by 31 +18.5
02/09 Home Utah -6.5 L by 4 -10.5

Portland Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Home Minnesota +4.5 L by 4 +0.5
10/24 Home Golden State +2.5 W by 20 +22.5
10/26 Away LA Clippers +8.0 L by 7 +1.0
10/27 Away LA Lakers -3.0 W by 14 +11.0
10/29 Away Utah -3.0 W by 2 -1.0
10/31 Home Denver +5.5 W by 2 +7.5
11/03 Home LA Lakers -9.5 L by 8 -17.5
11/05 Home Okla City +3.5 W by 2 +5.5
11/08 Away Miami -3.5 L by 5 -8.5
11/10 Away Orlando +1.5 L by 3 -1.5
11/12 Away New Orleans -8.5 W by 8 -0.5
11/14 Away Houston +7.5 L by 24 -16.5
11/16 Away Dallas -3.5 L by 5 -8.5
11/18 Home Phoenix -2.5 L by 17 -19.5
11/19 Home Chicago +3.5 L by 1 +2.5
11/21 Away Golden State +10.5 W by 4 +14.5
11/23 Away Okla City +15.5 L by 27 -11.5
11/24 Away Milwaukee +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
11/26 Home San Antonio -1.5 L by 13 -14.5
11/30 Home Okla City +11.5 L by 8 +3.5
12/02 Away Toronto +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
12/03 Away Cleveland +10.5 W by 12 +22.5
12/05 Away Detroit +8.5 L by 6 +2.5
12/07 Away Memphis +1.5 L by 23 -21.5
12/11 Away New Orleans -4.5 L by 23 -27.5
12/14 Home Golden State +5.5 W by 5 +10.5
12/18 Home Sacramento -8.5 W by 1 -7.5
12/20 Away Sacramento -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
12/22 Home Detroit +6.5 L by 8 -1.5
12/23 Home Orlando +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
12/26 Home LA Clippers +2.5 L by 16 -13.5
12/28 Home Boston +7.5 W by 6 +13.5
12/29 Home Dallas -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
12/31 Away Okla City +15.5 L by 29 -13.5
01/02 Away New Orleans -3.5 W by 13 +9.5
01/03 Away San Antonio +8.5 W by 5 +13.5
01/05 Home Utah -6.5 W by 20 +13.5
01/07 Home Houston +7.5 W by 1 +8.5
01/09 Home Houston +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
01/11 Home New York +5.5 L by 9 -3.5
01/13 Away Golden State +11.5 L by 22 -10.5
01/15 Home Atlanta +3.5 W by 16 +19.5
01/17 Home LA Lakers -3.5 W by 16 +12.5
01/18 Away Sacramento -1.5 W by 7 +5.5
01/22 Home Miami -3.5 W by 17 +13.5
01/23 Home Toronto +3.5 L by 12 -8.5
01/26 Away Boston +8.5 L by 8 +0.5
01/27 Away Washington -6.5 L by 4 -10.5
01/30 Away New York +6.5 L by 30 -23.5
02/01 Home Cleveland +3.5 L by 19 -15.5
02/03 Home Phoenix +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
02/06 Home Memphis -8.5 W by 20 +11.5
02/07 Home Memphis -9.5 W by 7 -2.5
02/09 Home Philadelphia -3.5 W by 17 +13.5