Miami at Portland: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Mar 1, 2012 10:30 pm - Portland, OR
Odds: Miami by 4.5, Total Points: 198.5

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Over 197.0 Official TR Pick 52% odds to go over
Over 197.0 Decision Tree 54% odds to go over
Over 197.0 Similar Games 58% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record MIA POR
Season 26-46-0 37-36-0
vs Division 4-10-0 10-6-0
vs Conference 20-25-0 30-18-0
Streak Un 1 Ov 1
Last 5 2-3-0 4-1-0
Last 10 2-8-0 6-4-0
Home 16-19-0 19-19-0
Away 10-27-0 18-17-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
10/25 Home Detroit 218.5 103-102 Under -13.5
10/27 Away Boston 217.5 111-119 Over +12.5
10/28 Away Minnesota 215.0 90-106 Under -19.0
10/30 Away Milwaukee 225.5 114-122 Over +10.5
11/01 Home Brooklyn 223.0 105-109 Under -9.0
11/03 Home Washington 224.5 121-114 Over +10.5
11/06 Home LA Lakers 223.0 108-107 Under -8.0
11/08 Away Memphis 217.0 108-102 Under -7.0
11/11 Away Atlanta 227.5 117-109 Under -1.5
11/12 Away San Antonio 221.5 118-113 Over +9.5
11/14 Away Charlotte 222.0 111-105 Under -6.0
11/16 Home Brooklyn 214.5 122-115 Over +22.5
11/18 Away Chicago 212.0 97-102 Under -13.0
11/20 Away Chicago 210.0 118-100 Over +8.0
11/22 Away Cleveland 213.0 129-96 Over +12.0
11/24 Away New York 209.5 98-100 Under -11.5
11/25 Away Brooklyn 217.0 97-112 Under -8.0
11/28 Home Milwaukee 230.5 124-131 Over +24.5
11/30 Home Indiana 237.5 142-132 Over +36.5
12/02 Home Indiana 237.5 129-144 Over +35.5
12/06 Away Toronto 220.0 112-103 Under -5.0
12/08 Home Cleveland 223.5 99-111 Under -13.5
12/11 Away Charlotte 222.5 116-114 Over +7.5
12/13 Home Charlotte 222.0 115-104 Under -3.0
12/14 Home Chicago 213.0 116-124 Over +27.0
12/16 Home Chicago 219.5 118-116 Over +14.5
12/18 Home Minnesota 217.0 108-112 Over +3.0
12/20 Away Orlando 219.5 115-106 Over +1.5
12/22 Home Atlanta 238.5 122-113 Under -3.5
12/25 Home Philadelphia 227.5 119-113 Over +4.5
12/28 Away Golden State 232.0 114-102 Under -16.0
12/30 Away Utah 231.0 109-117 Under -5.0
01/01 Away LA Clippers 228.5 104-121 Under -3.5
01/03 Away LA Lakers 229.0 110-96 Under -23.0
01/05 Away Phoenix 227.5 97-113 Under -17.5
01/08 Home Houston 219.5 120-113 Over +13.5
01/10 Home Okla City 233.0 120-128 Over +15.0
01/12 Home Orlando 219.0 99-96 Under -24.0
01/14 Home Charlotte 226.0 104-87 Under -35.0
01/15 Away Brooklyn 221.0 96-95 Under -30.0
01/17 Away Toronto 226.0 97-121 Under -8.0
01/19 Home Atlanta 221.5 108-109 Under -4.5
01/21 Away Orlando 213.0 87-105 Under -21.0
01/24 Home Memphis 215.0 96-105 Under -14.0
01/25 Home Boston 225.0 110-143 Over +28.0
01/27 Away New York 220.5 109-125 Over +13.5
01/29 Home Phoenix 230.0 105-118 Under -7.0
01/31 Home Sacramento 228.0 115-106 Under -7.0
02/02 Away Washington 228.0 110-102 Under -16.0
02/04 Home LA Clippers 223.0 95-103 Under -25.0
02/06 Home Orlando 213.0 121-95 Over +3.0
02/07 Home San Antonio 228.0 116-104 Under -8.0
02/11 Home Boston 225.0 106-110 Under -9.0
02/13 Away Milwaukee 223.5 123-97 Under -3.5
02/14 Away Philadelphia 226.5 109-104 Under -13.5
02/23 Away New Orleans 220.0 106-95 Under -19.0
02/26 Away Sacramento 223.5 121-110 Over +7.5
02/27 Away Portland 212.5 106-96 Under -10.5
02/29 Away Denver 214.0 97-103 Under -14.0
03/02 Home Utah 224.0 126-120 Over +22.0
03/05 Home Detroit 217.5 118-110 Over +10.5
03/07 Away Dallas 231.0 108-114 Under -9.0
03/08 Away Okla City 226.5 100-107 Under -19.5
03/10 Home Washington 228.5 108-110 Under -10.5
03/13 Home Denver 217.5 88-100 Under -29.5
03/15 Away Detroit 217.0 108-95 Under -14.0
03/17 Away Detroit 214.0 104-101 Under -9.0
03/18 Away Philadelphia 206.5 91-98 Under -17.5
03/20 Away Cleveland 207.5 107-104 Over +3.5
03/22 Home New Orleans 207.5 88-111 Under -8.5
03/24 Home Cleveland 203.0 121-84 Over +2.0
03/26 Home Golden State 217.0 92-113 Under -12.0

Portland Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
10/25 Away LA Clippers 225.0 111-123 Over +9.0
10/27 Home Orlando 220.5 97-102 Under -21.5
10/29 Away Philadelphia 217.0 98-126 Over +7.0
10/30 Away Toronto 216.5 99-91 Under -26.5
11/01 Away Detroit 216.0 110-101 Under -5.0
11/03 Home Memphis 220.0 115-113 Over +8.0
11/05 Home Memphis 219.0 100-112 Under -7.0
11/08 Away Sacramento 221.5 118-121 Over +17.5
11/12 Away LA Lakers 221.0 110-116 Over +5.0
11/14 Away Utah 230.0 99-115 Under -16.0
11/15 Home Cleveland 217.5 95-109 Under -13.5
11/17 Home LA Lakers 226.0 95-107 Under -24.0
11/19 Home Okla City 223.5 91-134 Over +1.5
11/21 Away Phoenix 223.5 107-120 Over +3.5
11/22 Home Utah 228.5 121-105 Under -2.5
11/26 Away Milwaukee 230.5 102-108 Under -20.5
11/27 Away Indiana 239.5 114-110 Under -15.5
11/30 Away Cleveland 218.5 103-95 Under -20.5
12/02 Away Utah 218.0 113-118 Over +13.0
12/06 Away Golden State 225.5 106-110 Under -9.5
12/08 Home Dallas 233.0 112-125 Over +4.0
12/11 Away LA Clippers 219.5 127-132 Over +39.5
12/14 Home Utah 226.0 114-122 Over +10.0
12/16 Home Dallas 232.5 120-131 Over +18.5
12/17 Home Golden State 233.5 114-118 Under -1.5
12/19 Home Phoenix 230.5 109-104 Under -17.5
12/21 Home Washington 239.0 117-118 Under -4.0
12/23 Away Golden State 231.5 106-126 Over +0.5
12/26 Home Sacramento 236.5 130-113 Over +6.5
12/28 Home San Antonio 232.5 105-118 Under -9.5
12/29 Home San Antonio 233.5 134-128 Over +28.5
01/01 Away Phoenix 229.5 88-109 Under -32.5
01/03 Away Dallas 239.0 97-126 Under -16.0
01/05 Away Dallas 234.5 103-139 Over +7.5
01/07 Away Brooklyn 225.5 134-127 Over +35.5
01/09 Away New York 229.5 84-112 Under -33.5
01/11 Away Okla City 236.5 77-139 Under -20.5
01/12 Away Minnesota 220.0 93-116 Under -11.0
01/14 Home Phoenix 234.0 116-127 Over +9.0
01/17 Home Brooklyn 222.0 105-103 Under -14.0
01/19 Home Indiana 237.0 118-115 Under -4.0
01/21 Away LA Lakers 229.5 110-134 Over +14.5
01/23 Away Okla City 231.5 109-111 Under -11.5
01/24 Away Houston 220.0 137-131 Over +48.0
01/26 Away San Antonio 231.5 100-116 Under -15.5
01/28 Home Chicago 222.5 96-104 Under -22.5
01/29 Home Philadelphia 221.5 130-104 Over +12.5
01/31 Home Milwaukee 238.0 119-116 Under -3.0
02/02 Away Denver 220.0 108-120 Over +8.0
02/04 Away Denver 220.5 103-112 Under -5.5
02/08 Home Detroit 226.0 122-128 Over +24.0
02/10 Home New Orleans 219.0 84-93 Under -42.0
02/13 Home Minnesota 214.0 109-121 Over +16.0
02/15 Home Minnesota 216.0 91-128 Over +3.0
02/23 Home Denver 216.5 112-127 Over +22.5
02/25 Home Charlotte 213.5 80-93 Under -40.5
02/27 Home Miami 212.5 96-106 Under -10.5
03/01 Away Memphis 209.0 122-92 Over +5.0
03/02 Away Memphis 210.0 107-100 Under -3.0
03/04 Away Minnesota 210.5 114-119 Over +22.5
03/06 Home Okla City 225.0 120-128 Over +23.0
03/08 Home Houston 219.0 107-123 Over +11.0
03/09 Home Toronto 228.5 128-118 Over +17.5
03/11 Home Boston 221.0 99-121 Under -1.0
03/13 Home Atlanta 217.0 106-102 Under -9.0
03/14 Home New York 202.5 93-105 Under -4.5
03/16 Away New Orleans 215.5 107-126 Over +17.5
03/18 Away Chicago 213.0 107-110 Over +4.0
03/20 Home LA Clippers 216.5 103-116 Over +2.5
03/22 Home LA Clippers 216.0 117-125 Over +26.0
03/23 Home Denver 209.5 111-114 Over +15.5
03/25 Away Houston 224.5 92-110 Under -22.5
03/27 Away Atlanta 219.5 106-120 Over +6.5