Miami at Minnesota: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Dec 30, 2011 8:00 pm - Minneapolis, MN
Odds: Miami by 8.5, Total Points: 209.5

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Under 211.5 Official TR Pick 51% odds to go under
Under 211.5 Decision Tree 51% odds to go under
Under 211.5 Similar Games 56% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record MIA MIN
Season 26-46-0 35-36-1
vs Division 4-10-0 5-9-0
vs Conference 20-25-0 22-23-1
Streak Un 1 Un 1
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 2-8-0 5-5-0
Home 16-19-0 14-20-1
Away 10-27-0 21-16-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
10/25 Home Detroit 218.5 103-102 Under -13.5
10/27 Away Boston 217.5 111-119 Over +12.5
10/28 Away Minnesota 215.0 90-106 Under -19.0
10/30 Away Milwaukee 225.5 114-122 Over +10.5
11/01 Home Brooklyn 223.0 105-109 Under -9.0
11/03 Home Washington 224.5 121-114 Over +10.5
11/06 Home LA Lakers 223.0 108-107 Under -8.0
11/08 Away Memphis 217.0 108-102 Under -7.0
11/11 Away Atlanta 227.5 117-109 Under -1.5
11/12 Away San Antonio 221.5 118-113 Over +9.5
11/14 Away Charlotte 222.0 111-105 Under -6.0
11/16 Home Brooklyn 214.5 122-115 Over +22.5
11/18 Away Chicago 212.0 97-102 Under -13.0
11/20 Away Chicago 210.0 118-100 Over +8.0
11/22 Away Cleveland 213.0 129-96 Over +12.0
11/24 Away New York 209.5 98-100 Under -11.5
11/25 Away Brooklyn 217.0 97-112 Under -8.0
11/28 Home Milwaukee 230.5 124-131 Over +24.5
11/30 Home Indiana 237.5 142-132 Over +36.5
12/02 Home Indiana 237.5 129-144 Over +35.5
12/06 Away Toronto 220.0 112-103 Under -5.0
12/08 Home Cleveland 223.5 99-111 Under -13.5
12/11 Away Charlotte 222.5 116-114 Over +7.5
12/13 Home Charlotte 222.0 115-104 Under -3.0
12/14 Home Chicago 213.0 116-124 Over +27.0
12/16 Home Chicago 219.5 118-116 Over +14.5
12/18 Home Minnesota 217.0 108-112 Over +3.0
12/20 Away Orlando 219.5 115-106 Over +1.5
12/22 Home Atlanta 238.5 122-113 Under -3.5
12/25 Home Philadelphia 227.5 119-113 Over +4.5
12/28 Away Golden State 232.0 114-102 Under -16.0
12/30 Away Utah 231.0 109-117 Under -5.0
01/01 Away LA Clippers 228.5 104-121 Under -3.5
01/03 Away LA Lakers 229.0 110-96 Under -23.0
01/05 Away Phoenix 227.5 97-113 Under -17.5
01/08 Home Houston 219.5 120-113 Over +13.5
01/10 Home Okla City 233.0 120-128 Over +15.0
01/12 Home Orlando 219.0 99-96 Under -24.0
01/14 Home Charlotte 226.0 104-87 Under -35.0
01/15 Away Brooklyn 221.0 96-95 Under -30.0
01/17 Away Toronto 226.0 97-121 Under -8.0
01/19 Home Atlanta 221.5 108-109 Under -4.5
01/21 Away Orlando 213.0 87-105 Under -21.0
01/24 Home Memphis 215.0 96-105 Under -14.0
01/25 Home Boston 225.0 110-143 Over +28.0
01/27 Away New York 220.5 109-125 Over +13.5
01/29 Home Phoenix 230.0 105-118 Under -7.0
01/31 Home Sacramento 228.0 115-106 Under -7.0
02/02 Away Washington 228.0 110-102 Under -16.0
02/04 Home LA Clippers 223.0 95-103 Under -25.0
02/06 Home Orlando 213.0 121-95 Over +3.0
02/07 Home San Antonio 228.0 116-104 Under -8.0
02/11 Home Boston 225.0 106-110 Under -9.0
02/13 Away Milwaukee 223.5 123-97 Under -3.5
02/14 Away Philadelphia 226.5 109-104 Under -13.5
02/23 Away New Orleans 220.0 106-95 Under -19.0
02/26 Away Sacramento 223.5 121-110 Over +7.5
02/27 Away Portland 212.5 106-96 Under -10.5
02/29 Away Denver 214.0 97-103 Under -14.0
03/02 Home Utah 224.0 126-120 Over +22.0
03/05 Home Detroit 217.5 118-110 Over +10.5
03/07 Away Dallas 231.0 108-114 Under -9.0
03/08 Away Okla City 226.5 100-107 Under -19.5
03/10 Home Washington 228.5 108-110 Under -10.5
03/13 Home Denver 217.5 88-100 Under -29.5
03/15 Away Detroit 217.0 108-95 Under -14.0
03/17 Away Detroit 214.0 104-101 Under -9.0
03/18 Away Philadelphia 206.5 91-98 Under -17.5
03/20 Away Cleveland 207.5 107-104 Over +3.5
03/22 Home New Orleans 207.5 88-111 Under -8.5
03/24 Home Cleveland 203.0 121-84 Over +2.0
03/26 Home Golden State 217.0 92-113 Under -12.0

Minnesota Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
10/25 Away Toronto 221.0 94-97 Under -30.0
10/28 Home Miami 215.0 106-90 Under -19.0
10/30 Away Atlanta 227.5 113-127 Over +12.5
11/01 Home Denver 220.5 110-89 Under -21.5
11/04 Home Utah 224.5 123-95 Under -6.5
11/06 Home Boston 222.0 114-109 Over +1.0
11/08 Home New Orleans 216.0 122-101 Over +7.0
11/10 Away San Antonio 225.5 117-110 Over +1.5
11/12 Away Golden State 222.0 116-110 Over +4.0
11/14 Away Golden State 217.0 104-101 Under -12.0
11/15 Away Phoenix 223.0 115-133 Over +25.0
11/18 Away New Orleans 220.0 121-120 Over +21.0
11/20 Home New York 214.5 117-100 Over +2.5
11/22 Home Philadelphia 221.0 112-99 Under -10.0
11/24 Home Sacramento 230.0 111-124 Over +5.0
11/26 Away Memphis 217.5 119-97 Under -1.5
11/28 Home Okla City 228.5 106-103 Under -19.5
11/30 Home Utah 219.5 101-90 Under -28.5
12/02 Away Charlotte 219.0 123-117 Over +21.0
12/06 Home San Antonio 231.0 102-94 Under -35.0
12/08 Away Memphis 213.5 127-103 Over +16.5
12/11 Away New Orleans 222.5 107-121 Over +5.5
12/14 Away Dallas 231.0 119-101 Under -11.0
12/16 Home Indiana 238.0 127-109 Under -2.0
12/18 Away Miami 217.0 112-108 Over +3.0
12/20 Away Philadelphia 226.0 113-127 Over +14.0
12/21 Home LA Lakers 222.5 118-111 Over +6.5
12/23 Away Sacramento 232.5 110-98 Under -24.5
12/26 Away Okla City 230.5 106-129 Over +4.5
12/28 Home Dallas 228.0 118-110 Push 0.0
12/30 Home LA Lakers 227.5 108-106 Under -13.5
01/01 Away New York 223.0 106-112 Under -5.0
01/03 Home New Orleans 221.0 106-117 Over +2.0
01/05 Away Houston 216.0 122-95 Over +1.0
01/07 Away Dallas 234.0 108-115 Under -11.0
01/09 Away Orlando 218.0 113-92 Under -13.0
01/10 Away Boston 228.0 120-127 Over +19.0
01/12 Home Portland 220.0 116-93 Under -11.0
01/14 Home LA Clippers 224.0 109-105 Under -10.0
01/17 Away Detroit 223.0 124-117 Over +18.0
01/18 Home Memphis 214.5 118-103 Over +6.5
01/20 Home Okla City 229.5 97-102 Under -30.5
01/22 Home Charlotte 221.5 125-128 Over +31.5
01/24 Away Washington 229.5 118-107 Under -4.5
01/25 Away Brooklyn 218.5 96-94 Under -28.5
01/27 Away San Antonio 228.0 112-113 Under -3.0
01/29 Away Okla City 225.0 107-101 Under -17.0
01/31 Home Dallas 221.0 121-87 Under -13.0
02/02 Home Orlando 213.5 106-108 Over +0.5
02/04 Home Houston 221.5 111-90 Under -20.5
02/06 Away Chicago 216.5 123-129 Over +35.5
02/08 Away Milwaukee 222.5 129-105 Over +11.5
02/12 Away LA Clippers 223.5 121-100 Under -2.5
02/13 Away Portland 214.0 121-109 Over +16.0
02/15 Away Portland 216.0 128-91 Over +3.0
02/23 Home Milwaukee 225.5 107-112 Under -6.5
02/24 Home Brooklyn 221.0 101-86 Under -34.0
02/27 Home San Antonio 221.5 114-105 Under -2.5
02/28 Home Memphis 209.5 110-101 Over +1.5
03/01 Home Sacramento 222.0 120-124 Over +22.0
03/03 Home LA Clippers 219.5 88-89 Under -42.5
03/04 Home Portland 210.5 119-114 Over +22.5
03/07 Away Indiana 228.0 113-111 Under -4.0
03/08 Away Cleveland 206.0 104-113 Over +11.0
03/10 Away LA Lakers 225.0 109-120 Over +4.0
03/12 Away LA Clippers 214.0 118-100 Over +4.0
03/16 Away Utah 224.5 119-100 Under -5.5
03/18 Away Utah 225.5 114-104 Under -7.5
03/19 Home Denver 216.0 112-115 Over +11.0
03/22 Home Cleveland 206.0 104-91 Under -11.0
03/24 Home Golden State 219.5 114-110 Over +4.5
03/27 Home Detroit 217.0 106-91 Under -20.0