Miami at Detroit: Recap

Friday Mar 23, 2012 7:30 pm - Auburn Hills, MI
Odds: Miami by 9, Total Points: 190.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 80.0%
DET 20.0%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
DET +9.0 MIA 48.9%
DET 51.1%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 192.0 Over 49.7%
Under 50.3%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -1.8%
DET -0.7%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 100.8 100.5 88
DET 89.5 91.5 73

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DET
Points/Game 109.8 111.7
Avg Score Margin +0.5 -8.4
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 12.5 14.5
Pts in Paint/Gm 47.4 51.0
Assists/Game 25.7 26.2
Total Rebounds/Gm 49.9 51.5
Effective FG % 53.5% 53.2%
Off Rebound % 22.0% 24.8%
FTA/FGA 0.262 0.247
Turnover % 11.7% 13.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DET
Opp Points/Game 109.3 120.1
Opp Effective FG % 54.6% 55.6%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 46.5 54.1
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.5 10.9
Def Rebounds/Gm 32.8 33.0
Blocks/Game 3.4 4.9
Steals/Game 7.5 6.2
Personal Fouls/Gm 17.6 21.4