Miami at New Orleans: Recap

Thursday Mar 4, 2021 8:30 pm - New Orleans, LA
Odds: Miami by 1.5, Total Points: 225

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 53.9%
NO 46.1%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
NO +2.0 MIA 49.7%
NO 50.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 225.5 Over 49.2%
Under 50.8%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -1.4%
NO -2.5%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 113.4 113.8 103
NO 111.5 111.8 93

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA NO
Points/Game 106.5 114.5
Avg Score Margin -0.9 -0.6
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 11.8 13.9
Pts in Paint/Gm 44.0 53.9
Assists/Game 26.2 26.0
Total Rebounds/Gm 49.6 55.5
Effective FG % 53.7% 53.9%
Off Rebound % 19.2% 26.8%
FTA/FGA 0.255 0.294
Turnover % 13.5% 12.6%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA NO
Opp Points/Game 107.4 115.1
Opp Effective FG % 53.4% 55.5%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 40.6 46.2
Off Rebounds/Gm 8.0 11.7
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.0 35.2
Blocks/Game 4.2 4.4
Steals/Game 7.7 7.3
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.0 17.8