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Sunday Mar 29, 2026 5:00 pm -
Indianapolis, IN
Odds:
Miami by 8.5,
Total Points:
245.5
| Game Winner Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
| Miami |
|
| MIA |
77.9% |
| IND |
22.1% |
| ATS Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
MIA -8.5 |
|
| MIA |
50.5% |
| IND |
49.5% |
| Totals Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
Under 246.5 |
|
| Over |
47.8% |
| Under |
52.2% |
| Money Line Value Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
MIA -350 |
|
| MIA |
+0.1% |
| IND |
-4.5% |
| Final Score Projection |
Vegas Implied | Actual |
| MIA |
126.6 |
127.5 | 118 |
| IND |
118.0 |
119.0 | 135 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat |
MIA |
IND |
| Points/Game |
120.9 |
112.4 |
| Avg Score Margin |
+2.3 |
-8.0 |
| Fastbreak Pts/Gm |
18.4 |
14.4 |
| Pts in Paint/Gm |
54.7 |
46.1 |
| Assists/Game |
29.0 |
27.7 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm |
55.0 |
50.4 |
| Effective FG % |
54.2% |
53.3% |
| Off Rebound % |
25.3% |
21.7% |
| FTA/FGA |
0.266 |
0.252 |
| Turnover % |
11.4% |
12.6% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat |
MIA |
IND |
| Opp Points/Game |
118.6 |
120.4 |
| Opp Effective FG % |
54.0% |
55.6% |
| Opp Pts in Paint/Gm |
52.0 |
55.7 |
| Off Rebounds/Gm |
11.8 |
9.8 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm |
34.5 |
32.1 |
| Blocks/Game |
4.3 |
4.6 |
| Steals/Game |
8.6 |
7.4 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm |
18.7 |
20.9 |