Miami at Denver : Recap

Friday Jan 13, 2012 10:30 pm - Denver, CO
Odds: Miami by 3.5, Total Points: 210

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 56.4%
DEN 43.6%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
DEN +3.5 MIA 42.2%
DEN 57.8%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 210.0 Over 54.0%
Under 46.0%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
DEN +145 MIA -5.3%
DEN +2.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 103.3 106.8 104
DEN 102.0 103.2 117

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DEN
Points/Game 101.5 110.6
Avg Score Margin -1.0 -1.2
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 11.4 14.7
Pts in Paint/Gm 44.8 49.0
Assists/Game 21.2 24.7
Total Rebounds/Gm 53.0 56.1
Effective FG % 50.6% 52.0%
Off Rebound % 23.4% 29.3%
FTA/FGA 0.251 0.286
Turnover % 12.4% 13.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DEN
Opp Points/Game 102.5 111.8
Opp Effective FG % 49.7% 53.4%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 44.7 47.5
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.3 12.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 33.5 33.9
Blocks/Game 5.5 4.2
Steals/Game 6.9 6.7
Personal Fouls/Gm 20.7 19.7