Miami at Dallas: Recap

Sunday Dec 25, 2011 2:30 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: Miami by 4.5, Total Points: 188.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 58.9%
DAL 41.1%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -4.0 MIA 51.5%
DAL 48.5%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 188.0 Over 45.6%
Under 54.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
DAL +162 MIA -13.9%
DAL +11.5%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 95.0 96.0 105
DAL 91.4 92.0 94

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Points/Game 109.9 117.3
Avg Score Margin +1.7 +2.0
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 12.8 15.7
Pts in Paint/Gm 47.0 47.0
Assists/Game 25.7 25.4
Total Rebounds/Gm 49.7 50.8
Effective FG % 53.8% 56.1%
Off Rebound % 21.9% 22.2%
FTA/FGA 0.255 0.253
Turnover % 11.6% 11.1%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Opp Points/Game 108.2 115.3
Opp Effective FG % 54.2% 54.6%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 45.9 50.7
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.4 9.7
Def Rebounds/Gm 32.9 33.3
Blocks/Game 3.4 5.0
Steals/Game 7.5 6.9
Personal Fouls/Gm 17.2 18.3