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Miami at Dallas : Recap

Sunday Dec 25, 2011 2:30 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: Miami by 4.5, Total Points: 188.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 58.9%
DAL 41.1%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -4.0 MIA 51.5%
DAL 48.5%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 188.0 Over 45.6%
Under 54.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
DAL +162 MIA -13.9%
DAL +11.5%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 95.0 96.0 105
DAL 91.4 92.0 94

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Points/Game 103.2 97.9
Avg Score Margin +1.1 -2.9
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 11.1 7.8
Pts in Paint/Gm 45.1 32.8
Assists/Game 21.2 20.8
Total Rebounds/Gm 52.7 44.9
Effective FG % 51.2% 50.5%
Off Rebound % 24.2% 18.1%
FTA/FGA 0.251 0.225
Turnover % 12.3% 11.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Opp Points/Game 102.1 100.8
Opp Effective FG % 49.6% 52.9%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 44.5 39.5
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.6 7.9
Def Rebounds/Gm 33.0 30.7
Blocks/Game 5.7 3.8
Steals/Game 7.1 7.5
Personal Fouls/Gm 20.5 19.1