Miami at Dallas : Recap

Sunday Dec 25, 2011 2:30 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: Miami by 4.5, Total Points: 188.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 58.9%
DAL 41.1%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -4.0 MIA 51.5%
DAL 48.5%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 188.0 Over 45.6%
Under 54.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
DAL +162 MIA -13.9%
DAL +11.5%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 95.0 96.0 105
DAL 91.4 92.0 94

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Points/Game 101.5 98.1
Avg Score Margin -1.0 -2.3
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 11.4 7.4
Pts in Paint/Gm 44.8 33.1
Assists/Game 21.2 20.3
Total Rebounds/Gm 53.0 44.5
Effective FG % 50.6% 50.7%
Off Rebound % 23.4% 18.3%
FTA/FGA 0.251 0.220
Turnover % 12.4% 11.3%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Opp Points/Game 102.5 100.4
Opp Effective FG % 49.7% 52.9%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 44.7 38.1
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.3 7.9
Def Rebounds/Gm 33.5 30.4
Blocks/Game 5.5 3.8
Steals/Game 6.9 7.8
Personal Fouls/Gm 20.7 19.3