Miami at Dallas : Recap

Sunday Dec 25, 2011 2:30 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: Miami by 4.5, Total Points: 188.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 58.9%
DAL 41.1%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -4.0 MIA 51.5%
DAL 48.5%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 188.0 Over 45.6%
Under 54.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
DAL +162 MIA -13.9%
DAL +11.5%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 95.0 96.0 105
DAL 91.4 92.0 94

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Points/Game 101.1 101.9
Avg Score Margin -0.5 -2.8
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 7.9 9.9
Pts in Paint/Gm 43.0 38.2
Assists/Game 22.0 22.5
Total Rebounds/Gm 50.6 47.7
Effective FG % 51.8% 51.5%
Off Rebound % 21.1% 17.5%
FTA/FGA 0.231 0.222
Turnover % 13.8% 11.7%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Opp Points/Game 101.6 104.7
Opp Effective FG % 50.6% 53.4%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 43.5 40.9
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.0 7.7
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.0 32.8
Blocks/Game 5.2 3.9
Steals/Game 7.2 7.1
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.9 19.4