Miami at Dallas : Recap

Sunday Dec 25, 2011 2:30 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: Miami by 4.5, Total Points: 188.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 58.9%
DAL 41.1%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -4.0 MIA 51.5%
DAL 48.5%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 188.0 Over 45.6%
Under 54.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
DAL +162 MIA -13.9%
DAL +11.5%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 95.0 96.0 105
DAL 91.4 92.0 94

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Points/Game 102.8 97.7
Avg Score Margin +0.7 -2.4
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 11.2 7.5
Pts in Paint/Gm 44.9 32.7
Assists/Game 21.3 20.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 52.9 44.9
Effective FG % 51.1% 50.4%
Off Rebound % 24.3% 18.1%
FTA/FGA 0.248 0.226
Turnover % 12.3% 11.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Opp Points/Game 102.1 100.1
Opp Effective FG % 49.6% 52.8%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 44.8 39.3
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.8 7.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 33.0 30.6
Blocks/Game 5.7 3.7
Steals/Game 7.2 7.7
Personal Fouls/Gm 20.6 19.2