Miami at Dallas : Recap

Sunday Dec 25, 2011 2:30 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: Miami by 4.5, Total Points: 188.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 58.9%
DAL 41.1%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -4.0 MIA 51.5%
DAL 48.5%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 188.0 Over 45.6%
Under 54.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
DAL +162 MIA -13.9%
DAL +11.5%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 95.0 96.0 105
DAL 91.4 92.0 94

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Points/Game 100.5 98.9
Avg Score Margin -2.4 -6.3
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 8.3 8.1
Pts in Paint/Gm 43.6 36.0
Assists/Game 20.2 20.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 50.6 48.6
Effective FG % 51.4% 49.0%
Off Rebound % 19.7% 18.3%
FTA/FGA 0.217 0.231
Turnover % 15.2% 13.2%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Opp Points/Game 102.8 105.2
Opp Effective FG % 49.7% 53.4%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 43.1 39.8
Off Rebounds/Gm 8.5 8.6
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.9 33.0
Blocks/Game 5.1 3.4
Steals/Game 7.4 6.9
Personal Fouls/Gm 21.3 20.2