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Miami at Dallas : Recap

Sunday Dec 25, 2011 2:30 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: Miami by 4.5, Total Points: 188.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 58.9%
DAL 41.1%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -4.0 MIA 51.5%
DAL 48.5%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 188.0 Over 45.6%
Under 54.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
DAL +162 MIA -13.9%
DAL +11.5%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 95.0 96.0 105
DAL 91.4 92.0 94

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Points/Game 103.4 102.3
Avg Score Margin -0.2 -3.0
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 9.6 10.0
Pts in Paint/Gm 44.5 38.8
Assists/Game 22.8 22.7
Total Rebounds/Gm 51.2 48.6
Effective FG % 51.9% 51.3%
Off Rebound % 21.4% 18.0%
FTA/FGA 0.235 0.217
Turnover % 13.2% 11.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Opp Points/Game 103.6 105.4
Opp Effective FG % 50.7% 53.2%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 43.7 42.2
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.3 8.1
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.0 33.1
Blocks/Game 5.4 3.8
Steals/Game 7.6 7.0
Personal Fouls/Gm 20.6 19.2