Miami at Sacramento: Recap

Friday Apr 1, 2016 10:00 pm - Sacramento, CA
Odds: Miami by 6.5, Total Points: 211.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 71.4%
SAC 28.6%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
SAC +6.5 MIA 50.0%
SAC 50.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 211.5 Over 48.6%
Under 51.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -2.2%
SAC -0.2%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 108.7 109.0 112
SAC 102.2 102.5 106

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA SAC
Points/Game 109.9 116.4
Avg Score Margin +1.8 +1.9
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 12.8 14.3
Pts in Paint/Gm 46.8 50.6
Assists/Game 25.7 28.3
Total Rebounds/Gm 49.6 52.1
Effective FG % 53.9% 55.4%
Off Rebound % 21.8% 24.6%
FTA/FGA 0.255 0.229
Turnover % 11.7% 11.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA SAC
Opp Points/Game 108.1 114.5
Opp Effective FG % 54.2% 55.5%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 45.9 48.7
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.3 10.9
Def Rebounds/Gm 33.0 33.1
Blocks/Game 3.4 4.2
Steals/Game 7.5 7.7
Personal Fouls/Gm 17.2 19.8