Miami at Atlanta: Recap

Sunday Feb 12, 2012 7:00 pm - Atlanta, GA
Odds: Miami by 4, Total Points: 189.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 63.9%
ATL 36.1%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +4.0 MIA 44.1%
ATL 55.9%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 190.5 Over 53.2%
Under 46.8%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -0.2%
ATL -2.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 95.7 97.2 107
ATL 93.5 93.2 87

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATL
Points/Game 110.1 118.3
Avg Score Margin +1.7 -2.3
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 12.8 13.4
Pts in Paint/Gm 47.2 50.1
Assists/Game 25.8 26.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 49.8 52.4
Effective FG % 53.7% 53.9%
Off Rebound % 22.0% 27.0%
FTA/FGA 0.257 0.252
Turnover % 11.6% 11.6%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATL
Opp Points/Game 108.3 120.6
Opp Effective FG % 54.2% 57.3%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 46.3 53.9
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.4 12.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 32.9 32.1
Blocks/Game 3.4 4.5
Steals/Game 7.6 7.5
Personal Fouls/Gm 17.3 18.5