Miami at Atlanta: Recap

Sunday Feb 12, 2012 7:00 pm - Atlanta, GA
Odds: Miami by 4, Total Points: 189.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 63.9%
ATL 36.1%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +4.0 MIA 44.1%
ATL 55.9%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 190.5 Over 53.2%
Under 46.8%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -0.2%
ATL -2.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 95.7 97.2 107
ATL 93.5 93.2 87

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATL
Points/Game 109.8 119.0
Avg Score Margin +0.5 -2.0
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 12.5 13.8
Pts in Paint/Gm 47.4 50.9
Assists/Game 25.7 26.3
Total Rebounds/Gm 49.9 52.6
Effective FG % 53.5% 53.7%
Off Rebound % 22.0% 27.6%
FTA/FGA 0.262 0.259
Turnover % 11.7% 11.3%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATL
Opp Points/Game 109.3 121.1
Opp Effective FG % 54.6% 57.1%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 46.5 54.4
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.5 12.9
Def Rebounds/Gm 32.8 32.0
Blocks/Game 3.4 4.6
Steals/Game 7.5 7.5
Personal Fouls/Gm 17.6 18.4