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Miami at Atlanta : Recap

Thursday Jan 5, 2012 8:00 pm - Atlanta, GA
Odds: Miami by 1, Total Points: 186

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 52.3%
ATL 47.7%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +2.0 MIA 46.3%
ATL 53.7%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 188.5 Over 51.4%
Under 48.6%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +118 MIA -4.2%
ATL +1.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 96.4 95.2 116
ATL 93.2 93.2 109

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATL
Points/Game 103.4 103.4
Avg Score Margin -0.2 -5.5
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 9.6 10.4
Pts in Paint/Gm 44.5 41.3
Assists/Game 22.8 23.7
Total Rebounds/Gm 51.2 50.0
Effective FG % 51.9% 51.2%
Off Rebound % 21.4% 21.1%
FTA/FGA 0.235 0.236
Turnover % 13.2% 14.1%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATL
Opp Points/Game 103.6 108.8
Opp Effective FG % 50.7% 53.6%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 43.7 44.4
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.3 9.1
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.0 32.8
Blocks/Game 5.4 4.2
Steals/Game 7.6 7.8
Personal Fouls/Gm 20.6 19.6