Miami at Atlanta : Recap

Thursday Jan 5, 2012 8:00 pm - Atlanta, GA
Odds: Miami by 1, Total Points: 186

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 52.3%
ATL 47.7%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +2.0 MIA 46.3%
ATL 53.7%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 188.5 Over 51.4%
Under 48.6%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +118 MIA -4.2%
ATL +1.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 96.4 95.2 116
ATL 93.2 93.2 109

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATL
Points/Game 103.2 103.3
Avg Score Margin +1.1 -0.8
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 11.1 12.0
Pts in Paint/Gm 45.1 43.0
Assists/Game 21.2 23.5
Total Rebounds/Gm 52.7 53.9
Effective FG % 51.2% 50.3%
Off Rebound % 24.2% 23.8%
FTA/FGA 0.251 0.300
Turnover % 12.3% 14.1%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATL
Opp Points/Game 102.1 104.1
Opp Effective FG % 49.6% 50.6%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 44.5 39.3
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.6 10.3
Def Rebounds/Gm 33.0 34.1
Blocks/Game 5.7 4.8
Steals/Game 7.1 8.1
Personal Fouls/Gm 20.5 18.3