Miami at Atlanta: Recap

Thursday Jan 5, 2012 8:00 pm - Atlanta, GA
Odds: Miami by 1, Total Points: 186

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 52.3%
ATL 47.7%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +2.0 MIA 46.3%
ATL 53.7%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 188.5 Over 51.4%
Under 48.6%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +118 MIA -4.2%
ATL +1.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 96.4 95.2 116
ATL 93.2 93.2 109

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATL
Points/Game 109.9 118.3
Avg Score Margin +1.8 -2.3
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 12.8 13.4
Pts in Paint/Gm 46.8 50.1
Assists/Game 25.7 26.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 49.6 52.4
Effective FG % 53.9% 53.9%
Off Rebound % 21.8% 27.0%
FTA/FGA 0.255 0.252
Turnover % 11.7% 11.6%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATL
Opp Points/Game 108.1 120.6
Opp Effective FG % 54.2% 57.3%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 45.9 53.9
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.3 12.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 33.0 32.1
Blocks/Game 3.4 4.5
Steals/Game 7.5 7.5
Personal Fouls/Gm 17.2 18.5