Miami at Atlanta : Recap

Thursday Jan 5, 2012 8:00 pm - Atlanta, GA
Odds: Miami by 1, Total Points: 186

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 52.3%
ATL 47.7%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +2.0 MIA 46.3%
ATL 53.7%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 188.5 Over 51.4%
Under 48.6%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +118 MIA -4.2%
ATL +1.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 96.4 95.2 116
ATL 93.2 93.2 109

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATL
Points/Game 101.5 103.8
Avg Score Margin -1.0 -0.5
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 11.4 11.8
Pts in Paint/Gm 44.8 43.0
Assists/Game 21.2 23.9
Total Rebounds/Gm 53.0 53.1
Effective FG % 50.6% 50.7%
Off Rebound % 23.4% 23.3%
FTA/FGA 0.251 0.284
Turnover % 12.4% 13.8%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATL
Opp Points/Game 102.5 104.2
Opp Effective FG % 49.7% 50.8%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 44.7 39.5
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.3 10.1
Def Rebounds/Gm 33.5 33.9
Blocks/Game 5.5 4.9
Steals/Game 6.9 8.3
Personal Fouls/Gm 20.7 17.9