Miami at Atlanta : Recap

Thursday Jan 5, 2012 8:00 pm - Atlanta, GA
Odds: Miami by 1, Total Points: 186

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 52.3%
ATL 47.7%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +2.0 MIA 46.3%
ATL 53.7%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 188.5 Over 51.4%
Under 48.6%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +118 MIA -4.2%
ATL +1.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 96.4 95.2 116
ATL 93.2 93.2 109

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATL
Points/Game 102.8 103.1
Avg Score Margin +0.7 -1.4
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 11.2 12.3
Pts in Paint/Gm 44.9 42.8
Assists/Game 21.3 23.4
Total Rebounds/Gm 52.9 53.6
Effective FG % 51.1% 50.3%
Off Rebound % 24.3% 23.7%
FTA/FGA 0.248 0.297
Turnover % 12.3% 14.0%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATL
Opp Points/Game 102.1 104.5
Opp Effective FG % 49.6% 51.0%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 44.8 39.0
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.8 10.3
Def Rebounds/Gm 33.0 33.8
Blocks/Game 5.7 5.0
Steals/Game 7.2 8.4
Personal Fouls/Gm 20.6 18.1