Miami at Atlanta : Recap

Thursday Jan 5, 2012 8:00 pm - Atlanta, GA
Odds: Miami by 1, Total Points: 186

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 52.3%
ATL 47.7%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +2.0 MIA 46.3%
ATL 53.7%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 188.5 Over 51.4%
Under 48.6%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +118 MIA -4.2%
ATL +1.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 96.4 95.2 116
ATL 93.2 93.2 109

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATL
Points/Game 100.5 102.8
Avg Score Margin -2.4 -5.4
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 8.3 9.2
Pts in Paint/Gm 43.6 40.9
Assists/Game 20.2 23.1
Total Rebounds/Gm 50.6 48.1
Effective FG % 51.4% 51.9%
Off Rebound % 19.7% 20.8%
FTA/FGA 0.217 0.215
Turnover % 15.2% 14.6%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATL
Opp Points/Game 102.8 108.2
Opp Effective FG % 49.7% 53.2%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 43.1 45.2
Off Rebounds/Gm 8.5 8.9
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.9 32.0
Blocks/Game 5.1 3.9
Steals/Game 7.4 9.1
Personal Fouls/Gm 21.3 21.1