Miami at Atlanta : Recap

Thursday Jan 5, 2012 8:00 pm - Atlanta, GA
Odds: Miami by 1, Total Points: 186

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 52.3%
ATL 47.7%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +2.0 MIA 46.3%
ATL 53.7%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 188.5 Over 51.4%
Under 48.6%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +118 MIA -4.2%
ATL +1.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 96.4 95.2 116
ATL 93.2 93.2 109

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATL
Points/Game 100.5 103.7
Avg Score Margin -0.9 -4.1
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 7.6 9.6
Pts in Paint/Gm 42.4 40.3
Assists/Game 21.8 23.9
Total Rebounds/Gm 50.3 48.8
Effective FG % 51.8% 51.4%
Off Rebound % 20.9% 22.3%
FTA/FGA 0.229 0.241
Turnover % 13.9% 13.9%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA ATL
Opp Points/Game 101.4 107.8
Opp Effective FG % 50.8% 53.8%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 43.4 44.0
Off Rebounds/Gm 8.8 9.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 33.8 31.4
Blocks/Game 5.2 4.3
Steals/Game 7.0 7.9
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.9 19.8