Miami at Boston : Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Apr 24, 2012 8:00 pm - Boston, MA
Odds: Boston by 7, Total Points: 181

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Over 180.5 Official TR Pick 50% odds to go over
Over 180.5 Decision Tree 55% odds to go over
Under 180.5 Similar Games 59% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record MIA BOS
Season 39-46-2 50-44-3
vs Division 7-9-0 9-12-0
vs Conference 25-31-1 34-31-2
Streak Un 2 Un 3
Last 5 2-3-0 1-4-0
Last 10 4-6-0 4-6-0
Home 19-23-1 29-21-0
Away 20-23-1 21-23-3

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
10/18 Away Orlando 205.5 109-116 Over +19.5
10/21 Home Indiana 214.5 112-108 Over +5.5
10/23 Home Atlanta 205.0 104-93 Under -8.0
10/25 Home San Antonio 196.5 100-117 Over +20.5
10/28 Home Boston 204.5 90-96 Under -18.5
10/30 Home Minnesota 216.0 122-125 Over +31.0
11/01 Home Chicago 196.5 97-91 Under -8.5
11/03 Away Denver 216.5 94-95 Under -27.5
11/05 Away LA Clippers 205.0 104-101 Push 0.0
11/06 Away Golden State 223.5 80-97 Under -46.5
11/08 Away Phoenix 217.0 126-115 Over +24.0
11/10 Away Utah 193.5 84-74 Under -35.5
11/12 Away Detroit 200.5 103-112 Over +14.5
11/15 Home Washington 211.5 93-102 Under -16.5
11/17 Away Washington 205.5 91-88 Under -26.5
11/19 Home Indiana 208.5 95-120 Over +6.5
11/22 Home Boston 196.0 104-98 Over +6.0
11/24 Away Minnesota 207.5 109-97 Under -1.5
11/26 Away Chicago 195.5 100-93 Under -2.5
11/28 Away Cleveland 209.5 97-108 Under -4.5
11/29 Away New York 206.5 86-115 Under -5.5
12/01 Home Charlotte 206.0 105-100 Under -1.0
12/03 Home Golden State 221.5 95-123 Under -3.5
12/06 Away San Antonio 197.5 105-117 Over +24.5
12/09 Neutral Brooklyn 212.0 101-89 Under -22.0
12/11 Away Memphis 194.5 107-82 Under -5.5
12/13 Home Portland 203.5 95-102 Under -6.5
12/15 Away Charlotte 203.5 104-98 Under -1.5
12/16 Home LA Clippers 205.5 90-85 Under -30.5
12/18 Away Atlanta 201.5 104-110 Over +12.5
12/20 Away Boston 200.0 90-89 Under -21.0
12/22 Home Dallas 196.0 113-101 Over +18.0
12/23 Home New Orleans 209.0 94-109 Under -6.0
12/26 Home Orlando 204.5 107-89 Under -8.5
12/29 Home Brooklyn 204.0 87-111 Under -6.0
12/30 Away Orlando 206.0 117-111 Over +22.0
01/03 Home Detroit 198.5 111-104 Over +16.5
01/05 Home New York 201.5 107-103 Over +8.5
01/07 Home Utah 196.0 103-102 Over +9.0
01/09 Away Toronto 205.0 90-89 Under -26.0
01/10 Away Indiana 203.0 114-106 Over +17.0
01/14 Home Milwaukee 204.5 97-79 Under -28.5
01/15 Away Chicago 206.5 111-119 Over +23.5
01/17 Away Milwaukee 202.0 106-101 Over +5.0
01/19 Away Brooklyn 207.0 95-101 Under -11.0
01/20 Away Charlotte 200.5 106-105 Over +10.5
01/22 Away Houston 213.5 90-99 Under -24.5
01/25 Home Sacramento 201.0 88-89 Under -24.0
01/27 Home Charlotte 207.5 95-91 Under -21.5
01/29 Away Dallas 196.0 95-88 Under -13.0
01/31 Away Cleveland 217.0 89-91 Under -37.0
02/02 Away Philadelphia 203.0 97-103 Under -3.0
02/03 Away Detroit 201.5 107-111 Over +16.5
02/05 Home Orlando 205.5 109-111 Over +14.5
02/07 Home Houston 207.5 101-109 Over +2.5
02/09 Home Milwaukee 198.5 91-85 Under -22.5
02/13 Away Toronto 205.0 112-115 Over +22.0
02/14 Away Philadelphia 202.0 102-104 Over +4.0
02/23 Away New Orleans 215.5 123-124 Over +31.5
02/24 Home Memphis 198.5 115-89 Over +5.5
02/27 Home Philadelphia 205.0 102-101 Under -2.0
03/01 Home LA Lakers 218.5 113-131 Over +25.5
03/03 Home Detroit 204.5 105-96 Under -3.5
03/05 Home Phoenix 218.5 125-103 Over +9.5
03/06 Away Washington 205.0 113-117 Over +25.0
03/08 Home Philadelphia 209.5 108-99 Under -2.5
03/10 Home Washington 207.0 129-102 Over +24.0
03/12 Away Portland 208.5 99-115 Over +5.5
03/14 Away Sacramento 206.5 119-123 Over +35.5
03/16 Away LA Lakers 221.0 92-91 Under -38.0
03/19 Home Denver 213.5 149-141 Over +76.5
03/21 Home New York 217.0 119-98 Push 0.0
03/23 Away Okla City 216.5 99-105 Under -12.5
03/25 Away Indiana 205.0 107-113 Over +15.0
03/27 Home Cleveland 221.0 98-79 Under -44.0
03/29 Home Chicago 209.0 103-92 Under -14.0
03/31 Home Brooklyn 213.5 109-110 Over +5.5
04/03 Home Atlanta 207.0 101-98 Under -8.0
04/04 Away Atlanta 207.5 115-86 Under -6.5
04/06 Away New York 208.0 98-122 Over +12.0
04/09 Home Okla City 212.5 93-115 Under -4.5
04/11 Home Toronto 201.5 116-109 Over +23.5
04/14 Away Philadelphia 214.0 103-130 Over +19.0
04/16 Away Philadelphia 217.0 113-103 Under -1.0
04/19 Home Philadelphia 213.5 108-128 Over +22.5
04/21 Home Philadelphia 212.5 102-106 Under -4.5
04/24 Away Philadelphia 215.5 91-104 Under -20.5

Boston Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
10/17 Away Cleveland 216.5 99-102 Under -15.5
10/18 Home Milwaukee 203.5 100-108 Over +4.5
10/20 Away Philadelphia 216.5 102-92 Under -22.5
10/24 Home New York 208.0 110-89 Under -9.0
10/26 Away Milwaukee 206.5 96-89 Under -21.5
10/28 Away Miami 204.5 96-90 Under -18.5
10/30 Home San Antonio 193.5 108-94 Over +8.5
11/01 Home Sacramento 195.5 113-86 Over +3.5
11/03 Away Okla City 207.5 101-94 Under -12.5
11/05 Away Orlando 209.5 104-88 Under -17.5
11/06 Away Atlanta 204.0 110-107 Over +13.0
11/08 Home LA Lakers 214.5 107-96 Under -11.5
11/10 Home Charlotte 204.0 90-87 Under -27.0
11/12 Home Toronto 202.0 95-94 Under -13.0
11/14 Away Brooklyn 210.0 109-102 Over +1.0
11/16 Home Golden State 219.0 92-88 Under -39.0
11/18 Away Atlanta 202.5 110-99 Over +6.5
11/20 Away Dallas 200.5 110-102 Over +11.5
11/22 Away Miami 196.0 98-104 Over +6.0
11/24 Home Orlando 208.5 118-103 Over +12.5
11/25 Away Indiana 204.5 108-98 Over +1.5
11/27 Home Detroit 199.0 108-118 Over +27.0
11/30 Home Philadelphia 211.5 108-97 Under -6.5
12/02 Home Phoenix 216.5 116-111 Over +10.5
12/04 Home Milwaukee 203.0 111-100 Over +8.0
12/06 Home Dallas 201.5 97-90 Under -14.5
12/08 Away San Antonio 197.5 102-105 Over +9.5
12/10 Away Detroit 202.0 91-81 Under -30.0
12/11 Away Chicago 193.0 85-108 Push 0.0
12/13 Home Denver 208.5 124-118 Over +33.5
12/15 Home Utah 197.0 95-107 Over +5.0
12/16 Away Memphis 195.0 102-93 Push 0.0
12/18 Away Indiana 206.5 112-111 Over +16.5
12/20 Home Miami 200.0 89-90 Under -21.0
12/21 Away New York 203.5 93-102 Under -8.5
12/23 Home Chicago 204.5 117-92 Over +4.5
12/25 Home Washington 210.5 103-111 Over +3.5
12/27 Away Charlotte 207.5 102-91 Under -14.5
12/28 Home Houston 216.5 99-98 Under -19.5
12/31 Home Brooklyn 209.5 108-105 Over +3.5
01/03 Home Cleveland 212.5 102-88 Under -22.5
01/05 Home Minnesota 210.5 91-84 Under -35.5
01/06 Away Brooklyn 204.5 87-85 Under -32.5
01/11 Neutral Philadelphia 212.0 114-103 Over +5.0
01/16 Home New Orleans 213.5 113-116 Over +15.5
01/18 Home Philadelphia 203.0 80-89 Under -34.0
01/21 Home Orlando 209.5 95-103 Under -11.5
01/23 Away LA Lakers 206.5 107-108 Over +8.5
01/24 Away LA Clippers 214.5 113-102 Over +0.5
01/27 Away Golden State 219.5 105-109 Under -5.5
01/29 Away Denver 206.0 111-110 Over +15.0
01/31 Home New York 202.0 103-73 Under -26.0
02/02 Home Atlanta 199.0 119-110 Over +30.0
02/04 Home Portland 200.0 97-96 Under -7.0
02/06 Away Toronto 208.5 91-111 Under -6.5
02/08 Away Washington 203.5 110-104 Over +10.5
02/09 Home Indiana 203.5 91-97 Under -15.5
02/11 Home Cleveland 213.0 99-121 Over +7.0
02/14 Home LA Clippers 212.0 119-129 Over +36.0
02/23 Away Detroit 208.0 110-98 Push 0.0
02/24 Away New York 211.5 121-112 Over +21.5
02/26 Home Memphis 203.5 109-98 Over +3.5
02/28 Home Charlotte 211.5 134-106 Over +28.5
03/03 Away Houston 213.5 120-123 Over +29.5
03/05 Away Chicago 209.0 105-89 Under -15.0
03/08 Away Minnesota 218.0 117-109 Over +8.0
03/11 Home Indiana 209.5 97-99 Under -13.5
03/14 Home Washington 201.0 124-125 Over +48.0
03/16 Away Orlando 201.5 92-83 Under -26.5
03/18 Away New Orleans 213.5 89-108 Under -16.5
03/20 Home Okla City 208.0 100-99 Under -9.0
03/23 Away Portland 203.0 105-100 Over +2.0
03/25 Away Sacramento 198.0 104-93 Under -1.0
03/26 Away Phoenix 208.5 102-94 Under -12.5
03/28 Away Utah 194.0 97-94 Under -3.0
03/31 Home Toronto 206.0 110-99 Over +3.0
04/03 Away Milwaukee 204.0 102-106 Over +4.0
04/04 Away Toronto 204.0 78-96 Under -30.0
04/06 Home Chicago 203.0 111-104 Over +12.0
04/08 Home Atlanta 201.5 106-112 Over +16.5
04/10 Away Washington 204.5 101-113 Over +9.5
04/11 Home Brooklyn 205.5 110-97 Over +1.5
04/15 Home Milwaukee 200.0 113-107 Over +20.0
04/17 Home Milwaukee 199.5 120-106 Over +26.5
04/20 Away Milwaukee 206.0 92-116 Over +2.0
04/22 Away Milwaukee 204.0 102-104 Over +2.0
04/24 Home Milwaukee 202.5 92-87 Under -23.5
04/26 Away Milwaukee 201.5 86-97 Under -18.5
04/28 Home Milwaukee 196.0 112-96 Over +12.0
04/30 Home Philadelphia 205.0 117-101 Over +13.0
05/03 Home Philadelphia 206.5 108-103 Over +4.5
05/05 Away Philadelphia 206.5 101-98 Under -7.5
05/07 Away Philadelphia 206.5 92-103 Under -11.5
05/09 Home Philadelphia 204.5 114-112 Over +21.5
05/13 Home Cleveland 204.5 108-83 Under -13.5
05/15 Home Cleveland 205.5 107-94 Under -4.5
05/19 Away Cleveland 207.0 86-116 Under -5.0