Miami at Boston: Recap

Sunday Apr 1, 2012 3:30 pm - Boston, MA
Odds: Miami by 4, Total Points: 186

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 65.5%
BOS 34.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -4.0 MIA 50.5%
BOS 49.5%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 186.0 Over 50.7%
Under 49.3%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -171 MIA +2.4%
BOS -4.9%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 94.8 95.0 72
BOS 91.7 91.0 91

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA BOS
Points/Game 109.3 121.1
Avg Score Margin +0.4 +11.5
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 12.5 15.3
Pts in Paint/Gm 47.1 46.9
Assists/Game 25.6 26.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 49.7 53.9
Effective FG % 53.3% 57.8%
Off Rebound % 21.9% 25.0%
FTA/FGA 0.258 0.232
Turnover % 11.5% 10.7%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA BOS
Opp Points/Game 108.9 109.6
Opp Effective FG % 54.8% 52.4%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 46.1 47.8
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.4 10.7
Def Rebounds/Gm 32.7 35.7
Blocks/Game 3.3 6.5
Steals/Game 7.4 6.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 17.4 16.5