Miami at Boston: Recap

Sunday Apr 1, 2012 3:30 pm - Boston, MA
Odds: Miami by 4, Total Points: 186

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 65.5%
BOS 34.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -4.0 MIA 50.5%
BOS 49.5%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 186.0 Over 50.7%
Under 49.3%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -171 MIA +2.4%
BOS -4.9%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 94.8 95.0 72
BOS 91.7 91.0 91

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA BOS
Points/Game 109.8 121.0
Avg Score Margin +0.5 +11.6
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 12.5 15.5
Pts in Paint/Gm 47.4 47.0
Assists/Game 25.7 26.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 49.9 54.4
Effective FG % 53.5% 57.7%
Off Rebound % 22.0% 24.9%
FTA/FGA 0.262 0.230
Turnover % 11.7% 10.8%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA BOS
Opp Points/Game 109.3 109.3
Opp Effective FG % 54.6% 51.9%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 46.5 47.7
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.5 10.7
Def Rebounds/Gm 32.8 36.2
Blocks/Game 3.4 6.6
Steals/Game 7.5 6.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 17.6 16.6