Atlanta at Minnesota: Over/Under Analysis

Monday Feb 9, 2026 8:00 pm - Minneapolis, MN
Odds: Minnesota by 8.5, Total Points: 238.5

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Under 238.5 Official TR Pick 52% odds to go under
Under 238.5 Decision Tree 52% odds to go under
Over 238.5 Similar Games 53% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record ATL MIN
Season 40-41-0 36-45-0
vs Division 7-8-0 9-7-0
vs Conference 26-25-0 22-29-0
Streak Un 1 Ov 2
Last 5 2-3-0 3-2-0
Last 10 5-5-0 3-7-0
Home 17-24-0 13-27-0
Away 23-17-0 23-18-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Atlanta Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
10/22 Home Toronto 237.0 118-138 Over +19.0
10/24 Away Orlando 235.0 111-107 Under -17.0
10/25 Home Okla City 237.0 100-117 Under -20.0
10/27 Away Chicago 243.5 123-128 Over +7.5
10/29 Away Brooklyn 239.5 117-112 Under -10.5
10/31 Away Indiana 233.0 128-108 Over +3.0
11/02 Away Cleveland 230.0 109-117 Under -4.0
11/04 Home Orlando 228.5 127-112 Over +10.5
11/07 Home Toronto 235.5 97-109 Under -29.5
11/08 Home LA Lakers 228.5 122-102 Under -4.5
11/10 Away LA Clippers 220.5 105-102 Under -13.5
11/12 Away Sacramento 230.5 133-100 Over +2.5
11/13 Away Utah 234.5 132-122 Over +19.5
11/16 Away Phoenix 226.5 124-122 Over +19.5
11/18 Home Detroit 227.5 112-120 Over +4.5
11/20 Away San Antonio 233.5 126-135 Over +27.5
11/22 Away New Orleans 232.5 115-98 Under -19.5
11/23 Home Charlotte 232.5 113-110 Under -9.5
11/25 Away Washington 239.5 113-132 Over +5.5
11/28 Home Cleveland 236.5 130-123 Over +16.5
11/30 Away Philadelphia 232.5 142-134 Over +43.5
12/01 Away Detroit 232.5 98-99 Under -35.5
12/03 Home LA Clippers 225.5 92-115 Under -18.5
12/05 Home Denver 238.5 133-134 Over +28.5
12/06 Away Washington 237.5 131-116 Over +9.5
12/12 Away Detroit 233.5 115-142 Over +23.5
12/14 Home Philadelphia 225.5 120-117 Over +11.5
12/18 Away Charlotte 240.5 126-133 Over +18.5
12/19 Home San Antonio 238.5 98-126 Under -14.5
12/21 Home Chicago 248.5 150-152 Over +53.5
12/23 Home Chicago 254.5 123-126 Under -5.5
12/26 Home Miami 250.5 111-126 Under -13.5
12/27 Home New York 244.5 125-128 Over +8.5
12/29 Away Okla City 232.5 129-140 Over +36.5
12/31 Home Minnesota 239.5 126-102 Under -11.5
01/02 Away New York 239.5 111-99 Under -29.5
01/03 Away Toronto 231.5 117-134 Over +19.5
01/05 Away Toronto 236.5 100-118 Under -18.5
01/07 Home New Orleans 246.5 117-100 Under -29.5
01/09 Away Denver 230.5 110-87 Under -33.5
01/11 Away Golden State 236.5 124-111 Under -1.5
01/13 Away LA Lakers 233.5 116-141 Over +23.5
01/15 Away Portland 228.5 101-117 Under -10.5
01/17 Home Boston 231.5 106-132 Over +6.5
01/19 Home Milwaukee 232.5 110-112 Under -10.5
01/21 Away Memphis 239.5 124-122 Over +6.5
01/23 Home Phoenix 233.5 110-103 Under -20.5
01/26 Home Indiana 233.5 132-116 Over +14.5
01/28 Away Boston 232.5 117-106 Under -9.5
01/29 Home Houston 223.5 86-104 Under -33.5
01/31 Away Indiana 235.5 124-129 Over +17.5
02/03 Away Miami 237.5 127-115 Over +4.5
02/05 Home Utah 245.5 121-119 Under -5.5
02/07 Home Charlotte 234.5 119-126 Over +10.5
02/09 Away Minnesota 238.5 116-138 Over +15.5
02/11 Away Charlotte 234.5 107-110 Under -17.5
02/19 Away Philadelphia 241.5 117-107 Under -17.5
02/20 Home Miami 244.5 97-128 Under -19.5
02/22 Home Brooklyn 227.5 115-104 Under -8.5
02/24 Home Washington 236.5 119-98 Under -19.5
02/26 Home Washington 235.5 126-96 Under -13.5
03/01 Home Portland 235.5 135-101 Over +0.5
03/04 Away Milwaukee 232.5 131-113 Over +11.5
03/07 Home Philadelphia 233.5 125-116 Over +7.5
03/10 Home Dallas 241.5 124-112 Under -5.5
03/12 Home Brooklyn 226.5 108-97 Under -21.5
03/14 Home Milwaukee 228.5 122-99 Under -7.5
03/16 Home Orlando 232.5 124-112 Over +3.5
03/18 Away Dallas 239.5 135-120 Over +15.5
03/20 Away Houston 226.5 95-117 Under -14.5
03/21 Home Golden State 227.5 126-110 Over +8.5
03/23 Home Memphis 239.5 146-107 Over +13.5
03/25 Away Detroit 229.5 130-129 Over +29.5
03/27 Away Boston 224.5 102-109 Under -13.5
03/28 Home Sacramento 234.5 123-113 Over +1.5
03/30 Home Boston 226.5 112-102 Under -12.5
04/01 Away Orlando 234.5 130-101 Under -3.5
04/03 Away Brooklyn 225.5 141-107 Over +22.5
04/06 Home New York 226.5 105-108 Under -13.5
04/08 Away Cleveland 235.5 116-122 Over +2.5
04/10 Home Cleveland 233.5 124-102 Under -7.5

Minnesota Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
10/22 Away Portland 222.0 118-114 Over +10.0
10/24 Away LA Lakers 226.0 110-128 Over +12.0
10/26 Home Indiana 228.5 114-110 Under -4.5
10/27 Home Denver 229.5 114-127 Over +11.5
10/29 Home LA Lakers 224.5 115-116 Over +6.5
11/01 Away Charlotte 235.0 122-105 Under -8.0
11/03 Away Brooklyn 226.0 125-109 Over +8.0
11/05 Away New York 228.5 114-137 Over +22.5
11/07 Home Utah 233.5 137-97 Over +0.5
11/09 Away Sacramento 238.5 144-117 Over +22.5
11/10 Away Utah 234.5 120-113 Under -1.5
11/14 Home Sacramento 240.5 124-110 Under -6.5
11/15 Home Denver 236.5 112-123 Under -1.5
11/17 Home Dallas 232.5 120-96 Under -16.5
11/19 Home Washington 239.5 120-109 Under -10.5
11/21 Away Phoenix 230.5 113-114 Under -3.5
11/24 Away Sacramento 238.5 112-117 Under -9.5
11/26 Away Okla City 226.5 105-113 Under -8.5
11/29 Home Boston 228.5 119-115 Over +5.5
11/30 Home San Antonio 233.5 125-112 Over +3.5
12/02 Away New Orleans 229.5 149-142 Over +61.5
12/04 Away New Orleans 233.5 125-116 Over +7.5
12/06 Home LA Clippers 228.5 109-106 Under -13.5
12/08 Home Phoenix 226.5 105-108 Under -13.5
12/12 Away Golden State 227.5 127-120 Over +19.5
12/14 Home Sacramento 235.5 117-103 Under -15.5
12/17 Home Memphis 227.5 110-116 Under -1.5
12/19 Home Okla City 232.5 112-107 Under -13.5
12/21 Home Milwaukee 226.5 103-100 Under -23.5
12/23 Home New York 229.5 115-104 Under -10.5
12/25 Away Denver 238.5 138-142 Over +41.5
12/27 Home Brooklyn 223.5 107-123 Over +6.5
12/29 Away Chicago 243.5 136-101 Under -6.5
12/31 Away Atlanta 239.5 102-126 Under -11.5
01/03 Away Miami 235.5 125-115 Over +4.5
01/04 Away Washington 239.5 141-115 Over +16.5
01/06 Home Miami 238.5 122-94 Under -22.5
01/08 Home Cleveland 239.5 131-122 Over +13.5
01/10 Away Cleveland 240.5 134-146 Over +39.5
01/11 Home San Antonio 232.5 104-103 Under -25.5
01/13 Away Milwaukee 229.5 139-106 Over +15.5
01/16 Away Houston 221.5 105-110 Under -6.5
01/17 Away San Antonio 234.5 123-126 Over +14.5
01/20 Away Utah 238.5 122-127 Over +10.5
01/22 Home Chicago 239.5 115-120 Under -4.5
01/25 Home Golden State 237.5 85-111 Under -41.5
01/26 Home Golden State 226.5 108-83 Under -35.5
01/28 Away Dallas 228.5 118-105 Under -5.5
01/29 Home Okla City 227.5 123-111 Over +6.5
01/31 Away Memphis 229.5 131-114 Over +15.5
02/02 Away Memphis 232.5 128-137 Over +32.5
02/04 Away Toronto 228.5 128-126 Over +25.5
02/06 Home New Orleans 237.5 115-119 Under -3.5
02/08 Home LA Clippers 222.5 96-115 Under -11.5
02/09 Home Atlanta 238.5 138-116 Over +15.5
02/11 Home Portland 234.5 133-109 Over +7.5
02/20 Home Dallas 239.5 122-111 Under -6.5
02/22 Home Philadelphia 239.5 108-135 Over +3.5
02/24 Away Portland 234.5 124-121 Over +10.5
02/26 Away LA Clippers 220.5 94-88 Under -38.5
03/01 Away Denver 241.5 117-108 Under -16.5
03/03 Home Memphis 237.5 117-110 Under -10.5
03/05 Home Toronto 226.5 115-107 Under -4.5
03/07 Home Orlando 224.5 92-119 Under -13.5
03/10 Away LA Lakers 229.5 106-120 Under -3.5
03/11 Away LA Clippers 225.5 128-153 Over +55.5
03/13 Away Golden State 224.5 127-117 Over +19.5
03/15 Away Okla City 228.5 103-116 Under -9.5
03/17 Home Phoenix 220.5 116-104 Under -0.5
03/18 Home Utah 231.5 147-111 Over +26.5
03/20 Home Portland 231.5 104-108 Under -19.5
03/22 Away Boston 222.5 102-92 Under -28.5
03/25 Home Houston 223.5 110-108 Under -5.5
03/28 Home Detroit 222.5 87-109 Under -26.5
03/30 Away Dallas 236.5 124-94 Under -18.5
04/02 Away Detroit 224.5 108-113 Under -3.5
04/03 Away Philadelphia 234.5 103-115 Under -16.5
04/05 Home Charlotte 225.5 108-122 Over +4.5
04/07 Away Indiana 233.5 124-104 Under -5.5
04/08 Away Orlando 232.5 120-132 Over +19.5
04/10 Away Houston 227.5 136-132 Over +40.5