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Atlanta at LA Lakers: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Nov 17, 2019 9:30 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Los Angeles by 15, Total Points: 220.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL LAL
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ATL LAL
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 86.4 86.7
Field Goal % 41.9% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 53.4 56.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 59.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 33.0 30.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 33.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 29.8
Free Throw % 79.2% 74.8%
Ball Control ATL LAL
Rebounds 44.2 55.0
Rebounds - Defensive 33.9 41.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 13.3
Turnovers 15.9 13.9
Blocked Shots 3.4 8.0
Steals 6.8 9.2
Fouls 21.9 19.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL LAL
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ATL LAL
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 25.1%
Player Fouled 18.4% 20.7%
Turnover 15.1% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL LAL
Shot Blocked 9.4% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 28.1%