Atlanta at Utah: Box Score Simulation

Friday Jan 15, 2021 9:00 pm - Salt Lake City, UT
Odds: Utah by 6.5, Total Points: 229

Matchup Menu: ATL @ UTA

More Games From Jan 15, 2021

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL UTA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ATL UTA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 94.2 89.2
Field Goal % 48.1% 50.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 54.5 52.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 59.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 39.7 36.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.6% 37.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 23.6
Free Throw % 78.3% 83.7%
Ball Control ATL UTA
Rebounds 46.9 49.9
Rebounds - Defensive 32.7 37.0
Rebounds - Offensive 14.1 12.9
Turnovers 10.8 14.2
Blocked Shots 5.7 5.8
Steals 7.5 5.8
Fouls 17.2 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL UTA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ATL UTA
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.9% 30.8%
Player Fouled 16.2% 16.5%
Turnover 10.3% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL UTA
Shot Blocked 6.6% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 28.2%