Atlanta at Miami: Recap

Wednesday Mar 7, 2012 7:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 11.5, Total Points: 189

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami ATL 14.5%
MIA 85.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +11.5 ATL 52.2%
MIA 47.8%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 188.5 Over 51.0%
Under 49.0%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +688 ATL +1.8%
MIA -4.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
ATL 89.2 88.5 86
MIA 99.5 100.0 89

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat ATL MIA
Points/Game 119.3 110.0
Avg Score Margin -1.6 +0.6
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 13.8 12.4
Pts in Paint/Gm 50.8 47.6
Assists/Game 26.2 25.7
Total Rebounds/Gm 52.7 49.7
Effective FG % 53.8% 53.6%
Off Rebound % 27.7% 22.0%
FTA/FGA 0.260 0.263
Turnover % 11.4% 11.7%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat ATL MIA
Opp Points/Game 120.8 109.4
Opp Effective FG % 57.0% 54.7%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 54.2 46.6
Off Rebounds/Gm 12.9 9.5
Def Rebounds/Gm 32.0 32.7
Blocks/Game 4.6 3.4
Steals/Game 7.5 7.5
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.5 17.7