Atlanta at Miami : Recap

Wednesday Mar 7, 2012 7:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 12.5, Total Points: 188.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami ATL 14.5%
MIA 85.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +11.5 ATL 52.2%
MIA 47.8%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 188.5 Over 51.0%
Under 49.0%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +688 ATL +1.8%
MIA -4.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
ATL 89.2 88.5 86
MIA 99.5 100.0 89

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat ATL MIA
Points/Game 103.9 100.5
Avg Score Margin -5.4 -2.3
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 9.0 7.6
Pts in Paint/Gm 41.0 40.5
Assists/Game 23.3 21.0
Total Rebounds/Gm 47.8 48.5
Effective FG % 51.9% 52.5%
Off Rebound % 21.3% 18.4%
FTA/FGA 0.224 0.223
Turnover % 14.2% 14.8%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat ATL MIA
Opp Points/Game 109.3 102.8
Opp Effective FG % 54.6% 50.8%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 45.0 44.5
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.1 7.7
Def Rebounds/Gm 31.0 33.5
Blocks/Game 3.8 5.1
Steals/Game 8.7 7.4
Personal Fouls/Gm 20.1 20.5