Atlanta at Miami : Recap

Wednesday Mar 7, 2012 7:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 12.5, Total Points: 188.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami ATL 14.5%
MIA 85.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +11.5 ATL 52.2%
MIA 47.8%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 188.5 Over 51.0%
Under 49.0%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +688 ATL +1.8%
MIA -4.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
ATL 89.2 88.5 86
MIA 99.5 100.0 89

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat ATL MIA
Points/Game 103.8 101.5
Avg Score Margin -0.5 -1.0
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 11.8 11.4
Pts in Paint/Gm 43.0 44.8
Assists/Game 23.9 21.2
Total Rebounds/Gm 53.1 53.0
Effective FG % 50.7% 50.6%
Off Rebound % 23.3% 23.4%
FTA/FGA 0.284 0.251
Turnover % 13.8% 12.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat ATL MIA
Opp Points/Game 104.2 102.5
Opp Effective FG % 50.8% 49.7%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 39.5 44.7
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.1 10.3
Def Rebounds/Gm 33.9 33.5
Blocks/Game 4.9 5.5
Steals/Game 8.3 6.9
Personal Fouls/Gm 17.9 20.7