Atlanta at Miami: Recap

Wednesday Mar 7, 2012 7:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 11.5, Total Points: 189

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami ATL 14.5%
MIA 85.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +11.5 ATL 52.2%
MIA 47.8%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 188.5 Over 51.0%
Under 49.0%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +688 ATL +1.8%
MIA -4.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
ATL 89.2 88.5 86
MIA 99.5 100.0 89

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat ATL MIA
Points/Game 119.2 109.3
Avg Score Margin -1.3 +0.4
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 13.9 12.5
Pts in Paint/Gm 50.8 47.1
Assists/Game 26.5 25.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 52.5 49.7
Effective FG % 54.0% 53.3%
Off Rebound % 27.7% 21.9%
FTA/FGA 0.257 0.258
Turnover % 11.3% 11.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat ATL MIA
Opp Points/Game 120.5 108.9
Opp Effective FG % 57.1% 54.8%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 53.9 46.1
Off Rebounds/Gm 12.8 9.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 31.9 32.7
Blocks/Game 4.6 3.3
Steals/Game 7.6 7.4
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.4 17.4