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Atlanta at Miami : Recap

Wednesday Mar 7, 2012 7:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 12.5, Total Points: 188.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami ATL 14.5%
MIA 85.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +11.5 ATL 52.2%
MIA 47.8%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 188.5 Over 51.0%
Under 49.0%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +688 ATL +1.8%
MIA -4.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
ATL 89.2 88.5 86
MIA 99.5 100.0 89

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat ATL MIA
Points/Game 103.3 103.2
Avg Score Margin -0.9 +1.1
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 12.0 11.1
Pts in Paint/Gm 43.0 45.1
Assists/Game 23.5 21.2
Total Rebounds/Gm 53.9 52.7
Effective FG % 50.3% 51.2%
Off Rebound % 23.9% 24.2%
FTA/FGA 0.298 0.251
Turnover % 14.1% 12.3%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat ATL MIA
Opp Points/Game 104.2 102.1
Opp Effective FG % 50.6% 49.6%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 39.2 44.5
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.4 10.6
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.0 33.0
Blocks/Game 4.7 5.7
Steals/Game 8.0 7.1
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.4 20.5