Memphis at Denver: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Apr 8, 2026 9:00 pm - Denver, CO
Odds: Denver by 23.5, Total Points: 247.5

Matchup Menu: MEM @ DEN

More Games From Apr 8, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM DEN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MEM DEN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 92.3 87.6
Field Goal % 45.7% 51.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 50.4 50.8
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 60.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 41.9 36.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 39.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 28.1
Free Throw % 79.3% 80.8%
Ball Control MEM DEN
Rebounds 45.5 52.3
Rebounds - Defensive 33.3 40.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 12.1
Turnovers 10.9 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.1
Steals 7.4 6.4
Fouls 20.5 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM DEN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MEM DEN
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 35.4% 31.2%
Player Fouled 16.5% 19.7%
Turnover 10.4% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM DEN
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 26.7%