Memphis at Sacramento: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Feb 4, 2026 10:00 pm - Sacramento, CA
Odds: Sacramento by 2.5, Total Points: 235.5

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Under 235.5 Official TR Pick 53% odds to go under
Under 235.5 Decision Tree 53% odds to go under
Under 235.5 Similar Games 57% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record MEM SAC
Season 33-34-0 34-35-0
vs Division 5-8-0 8-5-0
vs Conference 21-24-0 21-25-0
Streak Un 1 Un 2
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 5-5-0 5-5-0
Home 17-14-0 17-18-0
Away 16-20-0 17-17-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Memphis Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
10/22 Home New Orleans 236.5 128-122 Over +13.5
10/24 Home Miami 232.5 114-146 Over +27.5
10/25 Home Indiana 240.5 128-103 Under -9.5
10/27 Away Golden State 240.0 118-131 Over +9.0
10/29 Away Phoenix 242.0 114-113 Under -15.0
10/31 Home LA Lakers 237.5 112-117 Under -8.5
11/02 Away Toronto 238.5 104-117 Under -17.5
11/03 Home Detroit 236.0 106-114 Under -16.0
11/05 Home Houston 232.5 109-124 Over +0.5
11/07 Home Dallas 232.5 118-104 Under -10.5
11/09 Home Okla City 231.5 100-114 Under -17.5
11/11 Away New York 232.5 120-133 Over +20.5
11/12 Away Boston 227.5 95-131 Under -1.5
11/15 Away Cleveland 241.5 100-108 Under -33.5
11/18 Away San Antonio 233.5 101-111 Under -21.5
11/20 Home Sacramento 234.5 137-96 Under -1.5
11/22 Away Dallas 229.5 102-96 Under -31.5
11/24 Home Denver 235.5 115-125 Over +4.5
11/26 Away New Orleans 236.5 133-128 Over +24.5
11/28 Away LA Clippers 224.5 112-107 Under -5.5
11/30 Away Sacramento 233.5 115-107 Under -11.5
12/02 Away San Antonio 231.5 119-126 Over +13.5
12/05 Home LA Clippers 223.5 107-98 Under -18.5
12/07 Home Portland 232.5 119-96 Under -17.5
12/12 Home Utah 243.5 126-130 Over +12.5
12/15 Away LA Clippers 228.5 121-103 Under -4.5
12/17 Away Minnesota 227.5 116-110 Under -1.5
12/20 Home Washington 233.5 122-130 Over +18.5
12/22 Away Okla City 234.5 103-119 Under -12.5
12/23 Away Utah 242.5 137-128 Over +22.5
12/26 Home Milwaukee 227.5 125-104 Over +1.5
12/28 Away Washington 241.5 112-116 Under -13.5
12/30 Home Philadelphia 235.5 136-139 Over +39.5
01/02 Away LA Lakers 241.5 121-128 Over +7.5
01/04 Away LA Lakers 239.5 114-120 Under -5.5
01/06 Home San Antonio 237.5 106-105 Under -26.5
01/07 Home Phoenix 231.5 98-117 Under -16.5
01/09 Home Okla City 229.5 116-117 Over +3.5
01/11 Home Brooklyn 220.5 103-98 Under -19.5
01/15 Neutral Orlando 227.5 111-118 Over +1.5
01/18 Neutral Orlando 229.5 126-109 Over +5.5
01/21 Home Atlanta 239.5 122-124 Over +6.5
01/23 Home New Orleans 240.5 127-133 Over +19.5
01/26 Away Houston 226.5 99-108 Under -19.5
01/28 Home Charlotte 230.5 97-112 Under -21.5
01/30 Away New Orleans 231.5 106-114 Under -11.5
01/31 Home Minnesota 229.5 114-131 Over +15.5
02/02 Home Minnesota 232.5 137-128 Over +32.5
02/04 Away Sacramento 235.5 129-125 Over +18.5
02/06 Away Portland 235.5 115-135 Over +14.5
02/07 Away Portland 229.5 115-122 Over +7.5
02/09 Away Golden State 219.5 113-114 Over +7.5
02/11 Away Denver 238.5 116-122 Under -0.5
02/20 Home Utah 237.5 123-114 Under -0.5
02/21 Away Miami 238.5 120-136 Over +17.5
02/23 Home Sacramento 232.5 114-123 Over +4.5
02/25 Home Golden State 226.5 112-133 Over +18.5
02/27 Away Dallas 241.5 124-105 Under -12.5
03/01 Away Indiana 236.5 125-106 Under -5.5
03/03 Away Minnesota 237.5 110-117 Under -10.5
03/04 Home Portland 231.5 114-122 Over +4.5
03/07 Home LA Clippers 229.5 120-123 Over +13.5
03/09 Away Brooklyn 220.5 115-126 Over +20.5
03/10 Away Philadelphia 228.5 129-139 Over +39.5
03/12 Home Dallas 239.5 112-120 Under -7.5
03/13 Away Detroit 233.5 110-126 Over +2.5
03/16 Away Chicago 243.5 107-132 Under -4.5

Sacramento Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
10/22 Away Phoenix 228.5 116-120 Over +7.5
10/24 Home Utah 235.0 105-104 Under -26.0
10/26 Home LA Lakers 225.0 120-127 Over +22.0
10/28 Away Okla City 227.5 101-107 Under -19.5
10/29 Away Chicago 237.5 113-126 Over +1.5
11/01 Away Milwaukee 233.0 135-133 Over +35.0
11/03 Away Denver 237.0 124-130 Over +17.0
11/05 Home Golden State 224.5 121-116 Over +12.5
11/07 Home Okla City 234.5 101-132 Under -1.5
11/09 Home Minnesota 238.5 117-144 Over +22.5
11/11 Home Denver 243.5 108-122 Under -13.5
11/12 Home Atlanta 230.5 100-133 Over +2.5
11/14 Away Minnesota 240.5 110-124 Under -6.5
11/16 Away San Antonio 242.5 110-123 Under -9.5
11/19 Away Okla City 232.5 99-113 Under -20.5
11/20 Away Memphis 234.5 96-137 Under -1.5
11/22 Away Denver 239.5 128-123 Over +11.5
11/24 Home Minnesota 238.5 117-112 Under -9.5
11/26 Home Phoenix 233.5 100-112 Under -21.5
11/28 Away Utah 242.5 119-128 Over +4.5
11/30 Home Memphis 233.5 107-115 Under -11.5
12/03 Away Houston 230.5 95-121 Under -14.5
12/06 Away Miami 241.5 127-111 Under -3.5
12/08 Away Indiana 232.5 105-116 Under -11.5
12/11 Home Denver 239.5 105-136 Over +1.5
12/14 Away Minnesota 235.5 103-117 Under -15.5
12/18 Away Portland 239.5 133-134 Over +27.5
12/20 Home Portland 235.5 93-98 Under -44.5
12/21 Home Houston 223.5 125-124 Over +25.5
12/23 Home Detroit 226.5 127-136 Over +36.5
12/27 Home Dallas 233.5 113-107 Under -13.5
12/28 Away LA Lakers 232.5 101-125 Under -6.5
12/30 Away LA Clippers 218.5 90-131 Over +2.5
01/01 Home Boston 229.5 106-120 Under -3.5
01/02 Away Phoenix 223.5 102-129 Over +7.5
01/04 Home Milwaukee 227.5 98-115 Under -14.5
01/06 Home Dallas 233.5 98-100 Under -35.5
01/09 Away Golden State 231.5 103-137 Over +8.5
01/11 Home Houston 223.5 111-98 Under -14.5
01/12 Home LA Lakers 231.5 124-112 Over +4.5
01/14 Home New York 229.5 112-101 Under -16.5
01/16 Home Washington 235.5 128-115 Over +7.5
01/18 Home Portland 229.5 110-117 Under -2.5
01/20 Home Miami 238.5 117-130 Over +8.5
01/21 Home Toronto 225.5 109-122 Over +5.5
01/23 Away Cleveland 233.5 118-123 Over +7.5
01/25 Away Detroit 226.5 116-139 Over +28.5
01/27 Away New York 225.5 87-103 Under -35.5
01/29 Away Philadelphia 229.5 111-113 Under -5.5
01/30 Away Boston 216.5 93-112 Under -11.5
02/01 Away Washington 227.5 112-116 Over +0.5
02/04 Home Memphis 235.5 125-129 Over +18.5
02/06 Home LA Clippers 222.5 111-114 Over +2.5
02/07 Home Cleveland 229.5 126-132 Over +28.5
02/09 Away New Orleans 229.5 94-120 Under -15.5
02/11 Away Utah 228.5 93-121 Under -14.5
02/19 Home Orlando 226.5 94-131 Under -1.5
02/21 Away San Antonio 230.5 122-139 Over +30.5
02/23 Away Memphis 232.5 123-114 Over +4.5
02/25 Away Houston 222.5 97-128 Over +2.5
02/26 Away Dallas 235.5 130-121 Over +15.5
03/01 Away LA Lakers 235.5 104-128 Under -3.5
03/03 Home Phoenix 224.5 103-114 Under -7.5
03/05 Home New Orleans 235.5 123-133 Over +20.5
03/08 Home Chicago 235.5 126-110 Over +0.5
03/10 Home Indiana 236.5 114-109 Under -13.5
03/11 Home Charlotte 224.5 109-117 Over +1.5
03/14 Away LA Clippers 231.5 118-109 Under -4.5
03/15 Home Utah 230.5 116-111 Under -3.5