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LA Clippers at Okla City : Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Mar 21, 2012 8:00 pm - Oklahoma City, OK
Odds: Oklahoma City by 9, Total Points: 195

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC OKC
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting LAC OKC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 80.0 85.9
Field Goal % 48.1% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 56.2 61.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.8 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 32.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 28.8 26.7
Free Throw % 73.8% 74.4%
Ball Control LAC OKC
Rebounds 46.3 51.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 36.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 14.2
Turnovers 12.0 12.3
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.6
Steals 7.1 6.9
Fouls 18.2 21.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC OKC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with LAC OKC
2 Point Attempt 50.9% 52.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.6% 21.4%
Player Fouled 21.8% 18.1%
Turnover 12.0% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC OKC
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 19.3% 27.4%