LA Clippers at LA Lakers: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jan 25, 2012 10:30 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Los Angeles by 4, Total Points: 186

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAC LAL
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting LAC LAL
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 91.1 87.0
Field Goal % 48.9% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 54.9 56.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.0% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 36.2 30.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.5% 37.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 22.4
Free Throw % 82.9% 76.8%
Ball Control LAC LAL
Rebounds 48.3 46.0
Rebounds - Defensive 36.8 36.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 9.6
Turnovers 11.4 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.8 4.5
Steals 7.4 6.4
Fouls 17.4 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAC LAL
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with LAC LAL
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 27.1%
Player Fouled 14.1% 17.1%
Turnover 11.2% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAC LAL
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 20.7%