Boston at Miami: Recap

Monday May 28, 2012 8:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 8, Total Points: 178.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami BOS 20.2%
MIA 79.8%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
BOS +8.5 BOS 50.7%
MIA 49.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 179.0 Over 49.2%
Under 50.8%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off BOS -0.4%
MIA -2.0%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
BOS 88.4 85.2 79
MIA 96.6 93.8 93

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat BOS MIA
Points/Game 120.3 109.9
Avg Score Margin +11.2 +1.8
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 15.2 12.8
Pts in Paint/Gm 46.7 46.8
Assists/Game 26.8 25.7
Total Rebounds/Gm 53.6 49.6
Effective FG % 57.8% 53.9%
Off Rebound % 24.8% 21.8%
FTA/FGA 0.224 0.255
Turnover % 10.7% 11.7%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat BOS MIA
Opp Points/Game 109.1 108.1
Opp Effective FG % 52.5% 54.2%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 47.4 45.9
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.6 9.3
Def Rebounds/Gm 35.6 33.0
Blocks/Game 6.6 3.4
Steals/Game 6.8 7.5
Personal Fouls/Gm 16.1 17.2