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Boston vs. Memphis: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Aug 11, 2020 5:00 pm - Kissimmee, FL (Neutral Site)
Odds: Boston by 4.5, Total Points: 229.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS MEM
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting BOS MEM
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 88.1 89.8
Field Goal % 45.0% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 53.2 57.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 34.9 32.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 30.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 27.2 24.4
Free Throw % 80.9% 76.4%
Ball Control BOS MEM
Rebounds 52.8 51.1
Rebounds - Defensive 41.0 39.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 12.1
Turnovers 13.1 13.3
Blocked Shots 5.7 5.8
Steals 7.8 6.4
Fouls 19.5 19.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS MEM
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with BOS MEM
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 26.9%
Player Fouled 18.5% 18.5%
Turnover 12.5% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS MEM
Shot Blocked 6.6% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 22.8%