Cleveland at Milwaukee: Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 25, 2022 8:00 pm - Milwaukee, WI
Odds: Milwaukee by 4, Total Points: 215

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE MIL
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CLE MIL
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 89.1 85.0
Field Goal % 46.0% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 57.4 48.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 31.7 36.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 37.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 21.2
Free Throw % 77.5% 74.6%
Ball Control CLE MIL
Rebounds 49.1 50.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 38.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 11.3
Turnovers 11.4 14.8
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.4
Steals 6.3 6.4
Fouls 15.5 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE MIL
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CLE MIL
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 32.1%
Player Fouled 16.8% 15.3%
Turnover 11.2% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLE MIL
Shot Blocked 5.2% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 23.2%