This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2019-20 NBA season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2020-21 NBA section, register for a free account.

Chicago at Sacramento: Box Score Simulation

Monday Dec 2, 2019 10:00 pm - Sacramento, CA
Odds: Sacramento by 4, Total Points: 212

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI SAC
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CHI SAC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 86.1 82.8
Field Goal % 45.9% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 50.7 50.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 60.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 35.4 32.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 36.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 23.6
Free Throw % 74.9% 77.0%
Ball Control CHI SAC
Rebounds 44.1 49.0
Rebounds - Defensive 33.0 38.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 10.7
Turnovers 15.2 16.7
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.7
Steals 9.1 7.9
Fouls 18.9 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI SAC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CHI SAC
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 28.0%
Player Fouled 17.8% 18.3%
Turnover 14.7% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI SAC
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 24.5%