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Milwaukee at Golden State: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jan 8, 2020 10:00 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: Milwaukee by 13.5, Total Points: 217.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL GS
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MIL GS
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 88.0 89.9
Field Goal % 48.3% 39.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 51.2 53.3
2 Point Shooting % 55.4% 44.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 36.8 36.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 32.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 22.4
Free Throw % 73.6% 79.5%
Ball Control MIL GS
Rebounds 56.7 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 46.3 38.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 10.0
Turnovers 14.7 13.6
Blocked Shots 5.1 4.2
Steals 7.1 7.1
Fouls 17.7 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL GS
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MIL GS
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 31.0%
Player Fouled 17.8% 16.7%
Turnover 13.8% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL GS
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 17.7%