Milwaukee at New York : Box Score Simulation

Monday Mar 26, 2012 7:30 pm - New York, NY
Odds: New York by 4.5, Total Points: 206

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL NYK
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MIL NYK
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 83.9 86.6
Field Goal % 47.6% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 58.6 64.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 35.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 26.0 21.0
Free Throw % 77.9% 78.6%
Ball Control MIL NYK
Rebounds 45.9 49.3
Rebounds - Defensive 35.7 36.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 12.8
Turnovers 12.0 14.3
Blocked Shots 5.4 5.1
Steals 8.4 5.9
Fouls 17.6 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL NYK
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MIL NYK
2 Point Attempt 51.9% 55.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 19.4%
Player Fouled 18.9% 17.5%
Turnover 12.0% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL NYK
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 26.3%