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Milwaukee at Utah

  Tuesday Jan 3, 2012 - 9:00 pm - Salt Lake City, UT | Odds: Milwaukee by 1, Total Points: 186.5 | Team Pages: MIL | UTA

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL UTA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting MIL UTA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 79.5 75.8
Field Goal % 43.8% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 62.6 52.2
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 35.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 26.0
Free Throw % 74.3% 71.5%

Ball Control MIL UTA
Rebounds 43.3 50.4
Rebounds - Defensive 32.4 36.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 14.2
Turnovers 14.5 17.2
Blocked Shots 4.8 5.9
Steals 9.5 8.2
Fouls 19.1 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL UTA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with MIL UTA
2 Point Attempt 57.7% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 15.6% 21.3%
Player Fouled 18.7% 20.0%
Turnover 15.3% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 10.0%

Odds Per Shot Taken MIL UTA
Shot Blocked 7.9% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 30.5%