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Thursday Mar 12, 2026 7:30 pm -
Miami, FL
Odds:
Miami by 6.5,
Total Points:
234.5
| Game Winner Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
| Miami |
|
| MIL |
31.0% |
| MIA |
69.0% |
| ATS Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
MIL +6.5 |
|
| MIL |
51.0% |
| MIA |
49.0% |
| Totals Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
Over 234.5 |
|
| Over |
50.0% |
| Under |
50.0% |
| Money Line Value Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
Lay Off |
|
| MIL |
-2.9% |
| MIA |
-1.1% |
| Final Score Projection |
Vegas Implied | Actual |
| MIL |
114.1 |
114.0 | 105 |
| MIA |
120.4 |
120.5 | 112 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat |
MIL |
MIA |
| Points/Game |
110.6 |
120.9 |
| Avg Score Margin |
-6.2 |
+2.3 |
| Fastbreak Pts/Gm |
11.8 |
18.4 |
| Pts in Paint/Gm |
41.9 |
54.7 |
| Assists/Game |
25.8 |
29.0 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm |
49.6 |
55.0 |
| Effective FG % |
56.5% |
54.2% |
| Off Rebound % |
21.1% |
25.3% |
| FTA/FGA |
0.223 |
0.266 |
| Turnover % |
13.8% |
11.4% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat |
MIL |
MIA |
| Opp Points/Game |
116.8 |
118.6 |
| Opp Effective FG % |
55.8% |
54.0% |
| Opp Pts in Paint/Gm |
45.7 |
52.0 |
| Off Rebounds/Gm |
8.9 |
11.8 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm |
31.8 |
34.5 |
| Blocks/Game |
4.0 |
4.3 |
| Steals/Game |
7.4 |
8.6 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm |
19.7 |
18.7 |